CER podcast: The cost of Brexit to June 2019
Centre for European Reform podcast
Centre for European Reform
4.8 • 53 Ratings
🗓️ 6 November 2019
⏱️ 10 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | From the Centre for European Reform, this is the CEO podcast. |
| 0:04.3 | It is a critical moment. |
| 0:08.6 | If we do not act with urgency, we would then severely undermine the liberal order. |
| 0:17.4 | Brexit means Brexit, and we're going to make a success of it. |
| 0:23.7 | The wind is back in Europe's sales. |
| 0:27.1 | We have now a window of opportunity, but it will not stay open forever. |
| 0:34.1 | Hello, you're listening to the CER podcast. I'm Beth Oppenheim and today I'm with John Springford, |
| 0:39.1 | the CERR's Deputy Director. Hi, John. Hi, Beth. And today we're going to be going back to the |
| 0:45.0 | CEO's evaluation of the cost of Brexit to the British economy so far. So, John, could you just update us? |
| 0:51.8 | What's your latest estimate and how does that compare to your previous estimates? |
| 0:56.0 | So the latest estimate is that the British economy is 2.9% smaller than it would have been if Britain had voted to remain in the EU. |
| 1:05.0 | That's up a bit from the last quarter which was 2.5%. |
| 1:10.0 | The reason for that is that the second quarter of growth in the UK |
| 1:13.7 | this year was pretty awful minus 0.2. And the countries that make up the kind of fake UK that we put |
| 1:22.0 | together, the so-called doppelganger, they grew at a faster rate than the UK, which is why it |
| 1:26.4 | rose. So yeah, that's where we are. |
| 1:28.6 | It's where we're at. |
| 1:29.2 | It's not looking good. |
| 1:30.0 | It's not looking good. |
| 1:31.0 | And are there any particular types of economic activity that seem to be suffering more than |
| 1:35.8 | others? |
| 1:36.6 | So, I mean, if you think about, I don't know if you did A-level economics or whatever. |
... |
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