Ceasefire, Trump's First Week, Wildfire Politics

Lost Debate

The Branch

News, Politics, Society & Culture

4.6 • 607 Ratings

🗓️ 16 January 2025

⏱️ 43 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

Ravi welcomes Bradley Tusk back to the show for a wide-ranging conversation on some of today’s most pressing issues. They kick things off with an analysis of the Israel-Hamas ceasefire deal, exploring the geopolitical forces at play and the role Trump’s impending return to the White House may have had on its timing. They then shift focus to New York City politics. Can Eric Adams pull off a reelection, or is Andrew Cuomo poised for a comeback? Ravi and Bradley tackle the city’s pressing challenges, from safety and quality-of-life issues to outdated scaffolding laws, all while looking ahead to the next mayoral race. Finally, they turn to the wildfires still ravaging Southern California, examining the political and logistical fallout of the fires and its impact on city governance. Leave us a voicemail with your thoughts on the show! 321-200-0570 Follow Ravi on Good Reads: www.goodreads.com/ravimgupta --- Follow Ravi at @ravimgupta Follow The Branch at @thebranchmedia Notes from this episode are available on Substack: https://thelostdebate.substack.com/ Lost Debate is available on the following platforms: • Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-lost-debate/id1591300785 • Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/7xR9pch9DrQDiZfGB5oF0F • YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@ravimgupta • Google: https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly9mZWVkcy5tZWdhcGhvbmUuZm0vTERJNTc1ODE3Mzk3Nw • iHeart: https://www.iheart.com/podcast/269-the-lost-debate-88330217/ • Amazon Music: https://music.amazon.co.uk/podcasts/752ca262-2801-466d-9654-2024de72bd1f/the-lost-debate

Transcript

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0:00.0	Welcome to The Lost Debata Show for Political Ecclectics.
0:03.3	I'm Ravi Gupta.
0:04.3	Today we welcome back repeat guest, Bradley Tusk, who's a venture capitalist and author and
0:09.6	owner of a bookstore, podcaster, the host of the firewall podcast, a substacker.
0:16.7	We'll link to all of that stuff in the show notes.
0:19.7	And we're bringing Bradley on because there's just so much happening in the world between
0:22.5	the Looming Trump inauguration and the beginning of the administration, the ceasefire deal
0:27.6	in the Middle East, some interesting New York City politics.
0:31.6	Obviously, the wildfire is going on down in California.
0:35.7	So we have much to discuss.
0:38.8	Bradley, welcome to the podcast.
0:43.1	Hey, thanks for having me back. I'd be remiss if we didn't start with the big news coming out to the Middle East. There is a ceasefire deal that appears to have been agreed upon between the
0:48.5	Israeli government and Hamas, with Qatar and the U.S. playing the role of mediator. It seems like a phased deal where hostages
0:58.3	will be released, prisoners will be released by Israel. There's a phased pullout of the Gaza
1:04.2	strip and a rebuilding that will happen over the course of years. There's a number of different
1:08.6	places we can go here, but I know this is neither of our areas of expertise. That has never stopped us before. Yeah, it's never started us before. Number one, do you buy this? Do you think this is going to stick? I don't know if it's going to stick, but even a temporary ceasefire of 40s and 42-day ceasefire is still better than no ceasefire. So I'm glad that it's happening.
1:29.2	It's really tough, right, because you have incentives on both sides to keep it going. I mean,
1:35.1	the problem is Hamas doesn't want to agree to what the Israelis want because it means the
1:40.4	eradication of Hamas. And Netanyahu doesn't really want this resolved long term either because that probably
1:46.2	leaves to him not only being thrown in office, but then facing criminal corruption charges
1:50.8	that that could land him in jail.
1:52.7	And so the upside of a deal for both of the two parties in charge is not really there.
	...

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