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Philosophy Bites

Carissa Veliz on Prophecy

Philosophy Bites

Nigel Warburton

Education, Philosophy, Society & Culture

4.52K Ratings

🗓️ 11 May 2026

⏱️ 17 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Predictions aren't quite what they seem to be, according to Carissa Véliz, author of the book Prophecy. They often are intended to persuade you of the inevitability of a certain outcome, and may be self-fulfilling to some degree. Yet they look like simple factual claims about what is likely to happen. We need to be far more aware of the role of prediction in our everyday lives, according to Véliz.

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is Philosophy Bites with me David Edmonds and me Nigel Warburton.

0:06.2

Philosophy Bites is available at www. www.com.

0:10.4

In the brave new world of AI, predictions are increasingly shaping our lives.

0:15.6

The Oxford philosopher Carissa Bélez, whose book Prophecy has just been published,

0:20.2

argues that we should reflect on how

0:22.2

these predictions work and how they affect us.

0:26.0

Grysavelis, welcome to Philosophy Bites.

0:29.1

Thank you for having me, Nigel.

0:30.8

The topic we're going to focus on today is prophecy.

0:35.0

I'm not quite sure what that's got to do with philosophy.

0:39.1

Could you say what the link is?

0:45.0

There are many links. One, to philosophy of language, what is it that we do when we make a prediction?

0:50.5

And two, what's the ethics of prediction? How should we use them? When is it okay to use them?

0:54.8

And when is it not? So let's start with the first one. When somebody makes a prediction about the future, they prophesy what's going to happen. What's going on philosophically there?

1:00.2

I think predictions as sentences are very misleading because they sound like descriptions about the

1:05.7

world. I think it's intuitive to think that when somebody makes a prediction, they are describing

1:10.2

the way the world will look in the future.

1:12.6

But actually, when you assess how predictions are used in the public sphere,

1:17.6

you realize that very often, and in particular when it comes to social predictions.

1:22.6

Predictions are closer to verdicts or commands.

1:25.6

So, for example, when a tech executive says, tomorrow we will

1:29.2

be using AI for everything and everywhere, he's not trying to figure out how the world is going

...

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