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ChooseFI | Financial Independence Podcast

Can I Retire Yet? A Drawdown Case Study | Big ERN

ChooseFI | Financial Independence Podcast

Jonathan Mendonsa & Brad Barrett | Choose FI Media, Inc

Investing, Business, Careers

4.85.2K Ratings

🗓️ 8 November 2019

⏱️ 64 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

After years of meticulous saving, the real challenge begins: pulling money out without the panic. Becky and Steven have built a solid nest egg, but Becky admits that withdrawing funds feels like "stabbing herself in the heart." This episode tackles that exact psychological hurdle with Big Earn (Karsten) from Early Retirement Now, who brings his comprehensive sequence of return analysis to their real-world case study. Brad and Jonathan walk through Becky and Steven's drawdown plan, covering the critical first five years of retirement, the math behind delaying social security to age 70, and how Roth conversions can ease the tax burden. Big Earn's verdict? An $80,000 initial withdrawal is viable — but only with the right strategy and the confidence to execute it. Key Topics Becky and Steven's Case Study — [00:06:01] Their journey from accumulation to withdrawal, addressing the emotional resistance to drawing down principal. Big Earn emphasizes: "You should do your withdrawals confidently because that's what your retirement should be about." Sequence of Return Risk — [00:04:27] The first five years of retirement can make or break long-term sustainability, especially if markets stumble early. Social Security Strategy — [00:09:32] Waiting until age 70 maximizes benefits and reduces the strain on portfolio withdrawals. Roth Conversions and Tax Planning — [00:17:01] Structuring conversions to minimize lifetime tax liability while maintaining flexibility. Final Verdict — [00:47:11] Big Earn confirms Becky and Steven can retire comfortably with an $80,000 starting budget. Key Takeaways Delay Social Security: Waiting until 70 maximizes income and reduces portfolio pressure. [00:07:15] Build a Multi-Phase Withdrawal Plan: Adjust spending as you move through retirement stages. [00:08:02] Review Tax Implications Annually: Ongoing assessment keeps long-term taxes in check. [00:25:57] Notable Quotes [00:03:42] "Withdraw confidently—your retirement deserves it." [00:04:09] "Retirement is about enjoyment—don't deprive yourself." [00:30:20] "Exercise caution with bucket strategies in retirement." Chapters [00:00:53] Introduction [00:06:01] Becky and Steven's case study discussion [00:09:32] Social security benefits [00:17:01] Roth conversions and tax implications [00:47:11] Final verdict on retirement readiness Terminology Sequence of Return Risk — [00:04:09] The risk of negative returns early in retirement, which can erode portfolio sustainability. Drawdown — [00:01:23] The period during which you withdraw from savings, especially in retirement. Roth Conversion — [00:17:19] Converting traditional IRA funds to a Roth IRA for tax-free growth. Related Resources Becky's case study on Early Retirement Now — [00:48:20]

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to the ultimate crowd sourced personal financial. This is your Friday Roundup.

0:06.0

You're listening to Choose Applied Radio.

0:10.0

The blueprint for financial independence lives here.

0:21.0

If you're looking to unlock the secrets to financial independence and early retirement,

0:26.0

you're in the right place.

0:28.0

Stay tuned and join a community of like-minded people who are getting off the answer.

0:33.0

And taking control of their lives in the pursuit of financial independence.

0:37.0

Choose FI, your home for financial independence online.

0:41.0

All right everyone super excited about this drawdown case study.

0:56.0

We did not announce this to you on Monday because we didn't know if we'd be able to turn it around fast enough.

1:01.0

But one of our most request guest is Big Earn from early retirement now.

1:07.0

And I think the reason for that is well justified in that Big Earn has probably written one of the most thorough.

1:12.0

I would say the ultimate guide, I try not to use that too lightly, but the ultimate guide to sequence of return and drawdown strategy.

1:19.0

Really looking at it from probably the most comprehensive angle imaginable.

1:23.0

I think our thought was as we're starting to increasingly get case studies of people that are approaching drawdown to be able to apply his framework to it to basically say does this work with different variables.

1:35.0

So yeah, to help me with this I have my co-spread here with me today. How you doing buddy?

1:38.0

Hey Jonathan, I'm doing quite well.

1:40.0

I agreed this episode 152 with Becky Hepdig and she talked about her financial life with her and her husband Steven.

1:48.0

What's interesting is they are at this point where drawdowns are realistic for them.

1:53.0

Becky talked about this in the podcast on Monday when it comes time to actually take that money out with drawing money being like stabbing herself in the heart.

2:03.0

Jonathan stabbing herself in the heart, but I think a lot of that just comes from a lack of being comfortable with it.

2:12.0

And I think what's beautiful about what Big Earn, who's also known as Carson, does is provide this level of understanding.

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