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FiveThirtyEight Politics

Campaign Throwback: 'The Economy, Stupid'

FiveThirtyEight Politics

ABC News

News, Politics

4.620.6K Ratings

🗓️ 23 December 2024

⏱️ 24 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

This is the first installment of the 538 Politics podcast mini-series, “Campaign Throwback.” Across three episodes, we're taking a look back at campaign tropes from past elections such as, “it’s the economy, stupid,” or “soccer moms” or that question about which candidate you’d rather share a beer with. We’ll ask where those tropes came from, whether they were actually true at the time and if they still hold up today. Our first installment: “It’s the economy, stupid.” It's a trope that dates back to Bill Clinton's 1992 presidential campaign. Clinton's chief strategist at the time, James Carville, had three main messages for his staff to remember: 1) Change vs. more of the same 2) The economy, stupid, and 3) Don't forget about healthcare. The second message was memorialized in a 1993 documentary about the Clinton campaign called "The War Room," and has taken on a life of its own in the field of election analysis. But is it accurate? This episode originally aired in May. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

911. What is the address to emergency?

0:04.2

This 911 call began an investigation that would turn the town of Ashland, Ohio, into a crime scene.

0:11.9

We've got something big going on here.

0:13.8

The first thing you hit my mind is a monster.

0:16.7

A new series from ABC Audio in 2020.

0:20.7

The Hand in the Window.

0:23.6

Out now, wherever you listen to podcasts.

0:29.5

As in previous campaigns, it's the economy stupid.

0:32.8

We'll be looking at that this morning.

0:34.1

First, though, it's the news, stupid.

0:36.2

It is the economy stupid.

0:38.7

It's not the economy, stupid. It's not the economy,

0:43.7

stupid. It's national security stupid. It's the hair, stupid, not the economy stupid. It's the hair.

0:56.5

Hello and welcome to the 538 politics podcast. I'm Gailen Rook.

1:02.7

Happy holidays, everyone. I hope you are with your families or doing whatever brings you joy this time of year.

1:08.8

Our team is off and we're going to be re-airing our series from earlier this year called Campaign Throwback, where we looked at historical political tropes and asked

1:12.5

where those tropes came from, if they were true at the time, and if they still hold up today.

1:18.7

Our first episode is on that old saying, it's the economy stupid. This election certainly showed

1:25.5

just how big of a role the economy can play in an election.

1:29.3

It was the most important issue for voters, and in the days after President-elect Trump's victory,

1:34.8

we saw The Economy Stupid featured in headlines and articles all over the place.

1:40.3

But where did this trope come from?

...

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