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The Political Orphanage

Calculating Existential Threat - Lord Martin Rees

The Political Orphanage

Andrew Heaton

Politics, Comedy, News

4.91000 Ratings

🗓️ 2 December 2020

⏱️ 39 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Which is scarier: nuclear war or robots? Asteroid impact or climate change? Martin Rees is the founder of The Centre for the Study of Existential Risk at Cambridge University. He joins the program to talk about how to calculate the probability of threats to humanity, and what we should be sweating.
 
He's also the Astronomer Royal of the United Kingdom, the country's foremost mathematician, and the author of "On The Future: Prospects for Humanity."
 
Here's a link to his book: https://www.amazon.com/dp/069118044X?tag=mightyheaton-20&linkCode=osi&th=1&psc=1
 
 

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Hello and welcome to the political orphanage, a home for plucky misfits and problem solvers. Today we're going to discuss the

0:15.7

apocalypse. Now normally when a journalist such as myself gets into doomsday

0:21.5

scenarios it's customary to bring a couple of

0:24.3

colorful preppers on the show to come talk about why they're stocking up on

0:28.2

can goods or iodine tablets so we can all gawk at their twangy

0:32.4

historionics. I thought about doing that, but instead

0:36.1

I'm going to go clear in the opposite direction, actually about as far from a folksy doomsday

0:41.0

preppers I can get. Today I'm going to interview Lord Martin Reese,

0:45.3

the Astronomer Royal of the United Kingdom. Lord Martin is the co-founder of the

0:49.8

Center for the Study of Exist existential risk at Cambridge University.

0:54.8

If you want to hear two guys from Middle America discuss the contents of their bug out bags,

1:00.9

that's this week's bonus episode on Patreon, available exclusively to supporters of the show at

1:06.5

Patreon.com slash Andrew Hee.

1:09.2

You can join those elite orphans who make the show possible and find out what I've got hidden in my personal

1:14.2

bug out bag by going to Patreon.com.

1:17.1

slash Andrew Heaton.

1:18.9

This week's bonus episode features my old producer Jennings and I swapping tips on survival gear we've jammed into our

1:24.5

backpacks for if and when the grid goes down. But that's the bonus episode.

1:29.2

Today on the flagship episode that you're currently now listening to, I am excited to talk to a British

1:34.6

lord about the apocalypse.

1:37.2

I'm specifically interested in how we can rank threats empirically and rationally and

1:41.3

how scientists like him go about calculating the probability of things like nuclear warfare

...

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