Hey folks, Dan here. As you know, we publish episodes every other week, so we'll be back next week with a cattle rancher. Don't miss that.

But this week, I'm excited to say we have a special bonus episode. We're running an episode of another podcast called Choiceology, which is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. It's hosted by Katie

Milkman, who's a friend and a brilliant professor at the Wharton School at the University of

Pennsylvania. Choiceology explores behavioral economics and what it can teach us about how to make

better decisions. Today you're going to hear a sample episode of choiceology called The Super Forecasters.

It's about how we can make better predictions about the future and also better decisions.

And one of the decisions you'll hear about is the one made by then President Barack Obama to move forward with the raid on what they thought

was Osama bin Laden's compound in Pakistan back in 2011. But as you'll hear, there were doubts,

and the costs of getting this particular mission wrong would have been massive. Anyway, it's a really

great episode with lots of suspense and even some takeaways about decision making. Let me give

you one final bit of backstory here. I actually hosted the first season of Choiceology

years ago before what it's like to be was born.

So if you like this episode you're about to hear and want more, let me share that my favorite

episode from that first season is called Summit Fever. It's about the fateful decisions made by

some climbers on Mount Everest.

In any case, we will be back next week.

And now, with no further ado, here's the Super Forecasters from Choiceology.

Thank you. It was in the middle of the night in a mud hut, an Afghanistan, which was in control by the Taliban.

It was March of 97, so it was cold.

This is Peter.

I'm Peter Bergen.

Peter is an author and journalist, best known as a national security analyst on CNN.

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