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The Property Podcast

Bonus - Back To The Future: How To Predict Future Property Prices

The Property Podcast

Rob Bence & Rob Dix

News, Education, Business, Investing, Business News

4.82K Ratings

🗓️ 23 March 2018

⏱️ 16 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

This bonus archive episode: 224 - Back To The Future:  How To Predict Future Property Prices. Dove tails yesterday’s podcast so well. We discuss predicting future property prices and we’ve used lots of historical data in order to help us forecast what the next few years may have in store for the property market in the UK. If you’d like to take a look at the data we used for our research then check out The Nationwide price index, you may also wish to refer to our earlier episode on The 18 year Property Cycle – and we are working on the belief that the last cycle started after the crash in 1989 and ran for (would you believe it) 18 years to 2007. We looked at London vs the Northwest and Yorkshire & Humberside (The modern day Northern Powerhouse). JOIN THE CONVERSATION OVER IN THE FORUM Will this be something that affects you? Join the conversation in the forum. IF YOU ENJOYED THE PROPERTY PODCAST, PLEASE LEAVE A REVIEW ON ITUNES Reviews are really important in helping other people to find the show, so by way of thanks we read out every single review we receive on air. If you’d like to hear your name on the show, leave us a review on iTunes here. Not sure how to leave a review? This video shows you how to review and subscribe on iTunes. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Hi Rob D here, welcome to this bonus episode.

0:03.0

This was originally broadcast back in June last year,

0:05.5

and we're dropping it back into your feed today for two reasons.

0:08.0

Firstly, because it goes perfectly with yesterday's episode

0:10.5

about whether property really does double every 10 years and secondly because

0:13.8

Robby really wanted to hear the Back to the Future music on the podcast again.

0:17.0

So we're looking at how to use the past to predict the future when it comes to property prices.

0:26.8

This is basically a case study in what happens when you're obsessed with property and you don't

0:31.1

want to do whatever work you're supposed to be doing at the moment.

0:34.1

This came out of Rob B's procrastination.

0:36.4

Rob be procrastinated and the rest is history.

0:38.4

Boom boom.

0:39.4

So what he started doing was looking at the past regional data from the nationwide price index.

0:46.3

So as you'll probably know, the nationwide puts out an index every quarter showing what's

0:51.3

happened to property prices. There are others available but nationwide

0:54.3

is a popular one and it goes back a long way. It shows you the UK figure and it gives you a regional breakdown

0:59.5

and it's the regional part that Rob started getting interested in. The reason that we wanted to dig into it

1:05.6

and pull out the findings for this episode is that a lot of people ask us about London and

1:10.9

what's happening with regard to London and the 18 year

1:13.9

property cycle. So if you're not up to speed with the idea of the cycle we're going to

1:17.7

link to an episode about that in the show notes which you'll find at the

1:20.6

Property Hub. Net slash history but hopefully you are aware at the Property Hub. dot net, history.

...

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