Bloomberg Surveillance: Bumpy Path Down for Inflation
Bloomberg Surveillance
Bloomberg
3.8 • 1.2K Ratings
🗓️ 12 December 2023
⏱️ 33 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Dana Peterson, The Conference Board Chief Economist, expects consumers to pull back on spending as core prices ticked up in November. Alicia Levine, BNY Mellon Wealth Management Head of Investment Strategy and Equity Advisory Solutions, predicts the Fed won't cut rates until the second half of 2024. Lindsey Piegza, Stifel Chief Economist, says her concern is that the Fed doesn't tighten enough, and allows inflation to become further entrenched. Christyan Malek, JP Morgan Global Head of Energy Strategy and Head of EMEA Oil & Gas Equity Research, says it's only a matter of time until the global oil markets tighten.
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Transcript
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| 1:00.1 | Dana Peterson knows a bull market when she sees a chief economist at the conference board with wonderful perception on the American consumer. |
| 1:08.0 | Dana, how do you link a quiescent inflation report like this over to retail sales on Thursday? |
| 1:17.0 | Well I think the key thing is that we are seeing inflation slowing and it's |
| 1:21.9 | consistent with what the Fed expects. |
| 1:25.0 | But as was mentioned earlier, real wages are rising and certainly it's supporting consumer |
| 1:30.0 | spending. |
| 1:31.0 | But when we ask consumers how they feel, they're still complaining about |
| 1:34.0 | inflation. They're still saying that everything's too expensive. |
| 1:37.7 | Interest rates are rising, so that means if you wanted to buy that car, our refrigerator's |
| 1:41.3 | going to cost more. |
| 1:42.9 | So I would expect that even though real wages are rising, inflation is still there and consumers |
... |
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