4.8 • 710 Ratings
🗓️ 19 October 2021
⏱️ 90 minutes
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0:00.0 | We just finished discussing the proof of work mining network and the seven layers of security, energy, technology, politics, finance, the network itself, the spatial security, the temporal security. |
0:25.6 | So what you have is you have Bitcoin as a decentralized crypto asset network. |
0:32.3 | And the thing that pops up a lot is the question of what does energy usage look like over time |
0:41.0 | and is energy use is going to keep increasing as the price of Bitcoin increases? |
0:45.8 | And I've seen commentary on this. |
0:47.9 | I think a lot of people get it wrong. |
0:50.0 | They seem to think that as the price of Bitcoin increases, the energy usage will increase linearly. |
0:58.7 | And if there's 100x increase in Bitcoin price, there's 100x increase in energy usage. |
1:07.1 | And I think it's just worthwhile to make the observation that over the past 10 years, |
1:13.2 | the mining network has gone from being energy intensive to being technology intensive. |
1:21.4 | Another way to say it is, is in every single industry, you go from being labor intensive to capital intensive. |
1:29.1 | When we started with a million people sewing or farming, farming, it was a labor intensive activity. |
1:36.8 | As the capital equipment gets better, you know, first you have, you know, horses and carts and |
1:43.1 | ox carts, and then you have tractors, then you have mega tractors, then you have, you know, horses and carts and ox carts, and then you have tractors, then you have |
1:46.2 | mega tractors, then you have factories. All of a sudden, the amount of labor matters a lot less, |
1:54.6 | and the amount of capital equipment matters a lot more. I mean, there's a time when 90% of the country was farmers and now just one or |
2:03.2 | two percent of the people in the country produce all the food. It's because it's become technology |
2:08.7 | intensive. The Bitcoin network is similar in that except substitute for labor energy and substitute for capital technology. |
2:20.7 | And we go back 10 years, it probably took 100 times as much energy to generate an |
2:28.0 | X-a-hash as it is right now. |
2:32.1 | An S-19 takes 30 megawatts per X- hash, but an S-9 takes 150 megawatts in X-a-hash. |
2:40.1 | So if a 5x improvement energy efficiency over one generation of equipment, we're like on |
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