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The Ricochet Superfeed

Beyond the Polls with Henry Olsen: A Primary Concern

The Ricochet Superfeed

Ricochet

Politics, News

4.4652 Ratings

🗓️ 20 November 2025

⏱️ 24 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

American politics is so full of dazzling spectacles — campaigns and rallies, gotcha questions and scandals — that it’s often lost on even knowledgeable spectators how much process matters in turning a candidate into a nominee. The Democratic National Committee is thinking along these lines as 2028 approaches, as evidenced by the Rules and Bylaws […]

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome back to Beyond the Polls. This week I'll be talking with Elaine Kramark about Democratic Party

0:06.8

rules and structures for the nomination contest in 2008. Let's dive in.

0:14.7

We focused a lot on Democratic Party internal dynamics and the press talks a lot about people, but process matters

0:23.6

too. In fact, you can argue that process helps to shape the outcome. And here to talk with us about

0:29.1

this in the 2028 contest is Elaine Kmart, a longtime Democratic National Committee Rules member

0:35.2

and senior fellow at the Brookings Institution.

0:37.9

Elaine, welcome back. Thanks for having me. Well, let's just start off with the basics.

0:42.9

Why does the order of primaries matter in shaping the outcome of the nomination contest?

0:49.0

It matters because in both political parties, the nomination contest is a sequential process.

0:57.5

And that differentiates presidential nominations from any other election in America.

1:04.6

And frankly, I don't know of any other in the world.

1:07.1

Okay.

1:07.7

And so if it's sequential, what happens is that each contest builds upon the previous

1:14.2

contests. And going first or second or third, for that matter, really shapes the race.

1:21.1

These early contests, they tend to narrow the race considerably.

1:28.6

And so by the time you get to Super Tuesday, where there's a lot of contests on one day,

1:34.9

you usually have maybe one, maybe two, sometimes three, but usually one or two people

1:41.8

left in the race.

1:43.9

And of course, we know that everybody doesn't vote exactly the same way,

1:49.0

which is to say certain demographics, whether it's ideological or age-based or gender or whatever,

1:55.0

do shape how people vote.

1:57.0

And if you have a particular type of demographic going early, like with the Republicans,

...

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