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Wall Street Breakfast

Benchmark Treasury yields hit 16-year high

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business News, News, Business, Investing

4.11K Ratings

🗓️ 3 October 2023

⏱️ 5 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The 10-year tops 4.75% as longer bonds continue drastic selloff. (0:15) Delta is the latest carrier to find fake engine parts. (2:27) U.S. shale producers won't drill even if oil hits $100/barrel. (3:34)

Episode transcripts seekingalpha.com/wsb.
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Show Notes
Job openings unexpectedly climb in August, snapping downward trend
Canaccord Genuity says that the stage is set for a bounce given oversold market conditions
Eli Lilly to acquire Point Biopharma in $1.4B deal


Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Lunch. Our afternoon update on today's market action news and analysis.

0:09.0

Good afternoon. Today is Tuesday October 3rd and I'm your host, Kim Kahn. Our top story so far. Treasury yields continue

0:16.6

their march into rarefied air. The 10-year Treasury yield hit a 16-year high in today's trading.

0:21.7

The 10-year topped 4.75% this morning and it hasn't closed above that level since

0:26.0

August 2007. For context the 10 year was trading close to 3.3% just six months

0:31.4

ago and the 20 year treasure yield top 5% for the 3.3% just six months ago.

0:32.6

And the 20-year treasure yield top 5% for the first time in its brief history.

0:37.0

Allian's advisor, Mohamed Al-Arian, says, simply put, last year was about markets adjusting

0:41.6

to higher rates. This year is about markets adjusting to rates staying high for longer.

0:46.0

The process of market adjustment is ongoing while that of the economy is at a significantly earlier stage.

0:51.0

Sockgen's Kit Chukes explained the move on the longer end, pointing out that the Fed staying

0:55.9

high for as long as necessary, adds to investor doubt about the merit of receiving lower

1:00.3

yields on long-dated Treasury debt than they can get on the front end

1:03.4

when they face a steady flow of supply and data that doesn't point to an imminent

1:07.7

recession. He adds that, the easiest way to boost demand for long-dated

1:12.0

bonds isn't through higher yields.

1:14.0

It's through a change in expectations about the outlook for short-term rates as the economy

1:18.1

weakens.

1:19.1

That's one reason why soft landings are so hard to pull off.

1:22.2

Higher yields will hurt the economy

1:23.6

before they attract value investors. By then it'll be too late to avoid recession.

1:28.0

If you're looking to fireproof your portfolio for this new rates regime,

...

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