ASK324: Will a declining population hurt property? PLUS: I'm buying with tenants in-situ, what do I need to do?
The Property Podcast
Rob Bence & Rob Dix
4.8 • 2K Ratings
🗓️ 15 March 2022
⏱️ 8 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Hello, you beautiful podcast listeners. Thank you for joining us. You are listening to |
| 0:12.2 | Rob and Rob. The show where you give us quite frankly delightful questions and we do |
| 0:18.4 | our very best to answer them and provide some value. This format has been working well. |
| 0:23.8 | We've done hundreds of them now and let's make sure that format continues and how can |
| 0:28.4 | we all make sure that happens? Well, by you continuing to give us great questions. So let's |
| 0:32.8 | remind you on how you can do that. Yeah, you've got your phone with you right now. So just |
| 0:36.7 | call 013 808 0035 013 808 0035. Or if you prefer, you can go to property hub.net slash |
| 0:44.5 | ask. Either way, leave us a voicemail. And after some amount of time passes, your question |
| 0:49.6 | will receive an answer on air, just like phrases is about to right now. |
| 0:53.7 | Hi, Rob and Rob. It's Fraser here. Just a question on property price predictions. I read |
| 1:01.0 | an article in the FTE saying that population is set to decline two decades earlier now in the UK |
| 1:08.1 | in 2025. Bearing this in mind, do you think that's going to have a negative effect on property |
| 1:15.6 | prices in the future? If we have a falling population and excess supply, it'd be great to get |
| 1:22.5 | your thoughts. Thank you. Thank you for the question, Fraser. It's a really interesting one. |
| 1:25.8 | And I've not seen the actual article that you're referring to. So I don't know what the |
| 1:30.2 | population predictions were or what they are now, but I do have some general thoughts. |
| 1:36.5 | The first is that population predictions are always wrong. If you look back at previous estimates |
| 1:41.4 | of household formation over time, always way out. So probably not worth worrying about too much |
| 1:47.4 | for that reason. Also, I'm making the assumption that the decline is not going to be a dramatic one. |
| 1:55.0 | So if that's the case, I'd say that there's a very slim chance that it would have a negative |
| 2:00.2 | effect on property prices. Why is that? Because if you take the official line on how many |
| 2:05.0 | households are being formed and how many property are being built, we're running short on house |
... |
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