As a rate cut looms, can the Fed stick the landing?
Marketplace All-in-One
Marketplace
4.5 • 1.4K Ratings
🗓️ 30 August 2024
⏱️ 8 minutes
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Summary
Interest rates in America are guided by a key inflation reading released today, and it came in line with expectations, showing year-over-year inflation was pretty tame. We chat with FHN Financial Chief Economist Christopher Low about how to unpack recent inflation data and what it says about a potential Fed rate cut. Also on the show: the potential economic boon provided by a reunion of the British band Oasis.
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Two estranged brothers try to bury a hatchet in the name of music and business. |
| 0:07.0 | I'm David Brancaccio. First, interest rates in America are guided by a key inflation reading. |
| 0:12.0 | It needs zestier name name but what it is called |
| 0:14.9 | is the personal consumption expenditures price index that came in today in line |
| 0:20.0 | with expectations up slightly in a month but year over year inflation is still |
| 0:23.9 | quite tame 2.5 percent. That report also has information in it about consumer |
| 0:29.7 | activity. Christopher Lowe's chief economist at F.H.N Financial in New York who joins us now. |
| 0:35.2 | Good morning. |
| 0:36.2 | Good morning, David. |
| 0:37.8 | And consumers though are still at it. |
| 0:39.6 | It's not that the bottom is falling out from that perspective. |
| 0:42.4 | No, that's right. We got consumer spending numbers today too and in fact those were just a |
| 0:48.0 | tiny bit better than expected. They were up 0.4% in the month. |
| 0:53.0 | Consumption was also the primary component that lifted |
| 0:58.0 | GDP yesterday when it was revised up to 3%. |
| 1:03.2 | And you know, you put those two things together, |
| 1:05.7 | declining inflation, 3% GDP growth, |
| 1:09.7 | and it feels very much like we're on a track for that, you know, very rare fed soft landing. |
| 1:18.0 | A practical question for you, Chris. |
| 1:21.0 | I track, I think a lot of people do the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage |
| 1:25.0 | mortgage and news daily does it every day and you know it's pretty low |
| 1:28.5 | 6.41% as of yesterday in anticipation of the Fed cutting interest rates in |
... |
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