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BiggerPockets Money Podcast

Are We Heading Into a Recession? J Scott Breaks It Down

BiggerPockets Money Podcast

BiggerPockets

Investing, Education, Business

4.62.9K Ratings

🗓️ 29 July 2025

⏱️ 53 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In this episode of the BiggerPockets Money podcast, hosts Mindy Jensen and Scott Trench are joined by real estate expert J Scott to break down the mixed signals dominating today's economic landscape. Are we or we not heading into a recession? They discuss what's really happening with GDP growth, consumer spending patterns, and the evolving nature of work itself. From the rise of gig economy jobs that complicate traditional employment metrics to the unprecedented challenges facing businesses nationwide, this deep-dive conversation reveals the nuances behind the economic data that directly impacts your financial decisions. This Episode Covers: Key indicators of a recession Analysis of recent conflicting economic headlines Differing impacts on consumer spending and employment trends Influence of tariffs and the rising wave of business bankruptcies Potential economic impact of artificial intelligence Importance of portfolio diversification during uncertain times And SO much more! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Last week, I saw three headlines that perfectly capture our economic confusion. Number one,

0:06.4

a weak economy is good for military recruiting. Number two, Amazon Prime Day is down by 41%. And number three,

0:14.8

GDP growth beats expectations. So here's the million dollar question, or should I say trillion

0:20.5

question? Are we in a

0:22.1

recession, heading into one, or completely missing the real story?

0:31.6

Hello, hello, hello, and welcome to the Bigger Pockets Money podcast. My name is Mindy Jensen,

0:36.1

and with me as always is my not

0:38.0

receding anytime soon from being my co-host, Scott Trench. I was really hoping at a few more years

0:43.6

before jokes about my hairline made it onto the podcast intro, but I think we're here. Speaking of

0:49.0

receding, we're going to be joined once again by Jay Scott on today's episode to discuss whether

0:53.6

or not we are in a recession

0:55.2

here in the United States. He's going to help us separate economic reality from economic

1:00.0

anxiety, and we're going to dive into what the data actually shows why experts are split

1:05.1

and why not just experts, but the community here at Bigger Pockets' money is actually split.

1:09.7

And most importantly, what this means for your money, your job, and your FI journey.

1:13.8

Jay, thank you so much for being here.

1:15.3

Hey, thanks for having me.

1:16.3

Always thrilled to be here.

1:17.4

Jay Scott is a real estate expert.

1:21.3

He is written, I don't know, 150 books or five books, same thing, about real estate, negotiating

1:26.9

real estate, estimating rehab costs,

1:28.9

etc. But he's also really, really, really into the economy. Jay, what is a recession? Let's define this,

...

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