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Goldman Sachs Exchanges

Are the largest US stocks too dominant?

Goldman Sachs Exchanges

Goldman Sachs

Business

4.41K Ratings

🗓️ 26 March 2024

⏱️ 19 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The US stock market is more concentrated than it’s been in decades, with a small number of stocks accounting for an unusually large share of market capitalization. While it’s making some investors uneasy, Ben Snider, a senior strategist on the US portfolio strategy team in Goldman Sachs Research, and Peter Callahan, who covers the US technology, media, and telecommunications markets business in Global Banking & Markets, point out on Goldman Sachs Exchanges that these stocks' valuations reflect strong earnings. If you'd like to learn more, visit GS.com and sign up for Briefings, a weekly newsletter from Goldman Sachs about trends spanning markets, industries, and the global economy.

Transcript

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0:00.0

A handful of tech stocks have driven the eye-popping performance of the U.S. stock market in recent months.

0:05.5

So just how concentrated is this performance, and should investors be worried.

0:10.0

Extreme is the word I've been using.

0:11.7

By some measures, actually, you could argue this is the most concentrated market we've seen

0:15.6

in almost 100 years since the 1930s.

0:18.2

I'm Allison Nathan and this is Goldmanaks exchanges. For today's episode, I'm sitting down with Ben Snyder, a senior strategist on the U.S.

0:34.2

portfolio strategy team in Goldman Sachs research, and Peter Callahan, who covers the

0:38.9

U.S technology, media, and telecommunications markets business.

0:42.7

We'll be talking about the investor and broader implications

0:45.5

of high equity market concentration.

0:47.5

Then Peter, welcome back to the program.

0:49.2

Thank you.

0:50.2

So let's kick off.

0:51.2

The US stock market has performed exceptionally well, I think much better

0:54.6

than anyone expected, especially heading into 2024. U.S. indices are hitting record highs.

1:00.9

But this is really thanks to the performance of a handful of stocks, these mega-cap stocks

1:06.0

that we hear so much about the Magnificent Seven.

1:09.1

Then just give us some context first on just how concentrated this performance has been.

1:13.6

There's really two things going on. First is the concentration of the market.

1:17.6

So for example, if you look at the top 10 stocks in the S&P 500, they currently

1:21.7

account for about a third of the market cap.

1:24.4

That is exceptional relative to history.

...

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