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Thoughts on the Market

Andrew Sheets: It Is Time to Worry about the Growth Outlook?

Thoughts on the Market

Morgan Stanley

Strategy, Alternatives, Macro, Equities, Fixed Income, Investing, Global, Business, Markets, Economics

4.81.4K Ratings

🗓️ 6 August 2021

⏱️ 3 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The Delta variant, slow progress on U.S. infrastructure and some recent disappointing data have markets worried about the economic recovery. Here’s another view.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Welcome to Thoughts in the Market.

0:03.8

I'm Andrew Sheetz, Chief Cross-Asset Stragist for Morgan Stanley.

0:07.3

Along with my colleague Springy of Ridey, Perspectives, I'll be talking about trends across

0:11.3

the global investment landscape and how we put those ideas together.

0:14.5

It's Friday, August 6th at 2pm in London.

0:19.4

Markets like stories.

0:20.9

Markets like stories because they're made up of people and there's a very human attraction

0:24.4

to a good narrative that probably goes back to time immemorial.

0:27.9

And markets like stories because markets are complicated and investors are busy.

0:31.6

Anything that simplifies this is a welcome respite.

0:34.6

The latest story is sweep through the market is that the surge in the Delta variant

0:38.0

and slow progress on infrastructure are putting growth at risk.

0:41.3

Like any good story, it comes with compelling illustrations.

0:44.2

Both interest rates and economically sensitive stocks have declined exactly what one would expect

0:49.6

if the economy was at risk.

0:51.3

On the surface, the story seems pretty logical.

0:53.7

COVID cases are once again rising in the US and around the world.

0:57.4

Progress on increased infrastructure spending in theory,

1:00.1

one of the easiest policies on which to find bipartisan agreement has appeared to slow

1:04.6

and some recent data has disappointed.

1:07.0

But as August turns to September, we think the story will shift.

1:10.2

Growth optimism should come back.

...

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