An Updated State of Housing
The Dividend Cafe
The Dividend Cafe - The Bahnsen Group
4.9 • 572 Ratings
🗓️ 20 January 2023
⏱️ 24 minutes
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Summary
FOR ACCESS to CHARTs described in this episode, click here - https://bahnsen.co/3DnVULR
I wrote a piece for the Dividend Cafe in May last year about the subject of housing and having re-read it this morning, I wouldn’t change a word. But those more evergreen principles don’t take away the appetite many have for the current state of affairs. Economic conversation right now largely centers around recession questions, and discussions about financial markets are understandably focused on the stock market. Yet right in the Venn diagram of both the economy and the market is the state of housing, and almost every person I know lives somewhere. So this topic is perhaps more relevant in a practical sense than many of the others that garner our attention.
I sometimes avoid this topic because that relevance is so misunderstood and misapplied (i.e. “if I could just know what would happen to house prices in the next few months, I would know if I should buy or rent” – or worse – “if I just knew what would happen to house prices in the next few months I could resume my foolproof home-flipping plans”). But as you shall see in today’s Dividend Cafe, our interest in the topic of housing is for a different application altogether.
Let’s jump into housing yet again, in the Dividend Cafe …
Links mentioned in this episode: TheDCToday.com DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to the Dividend Cafe weekly market commentary focused on dividends in your portfolio and dividends |
| 0:07.6 | in your understanding of economic life. |
| 0:12.5 | Hello and welcome to the Dividend Cafe. I am going to talk to you today about the housing market, |
| 0:23.5 | a topic that in a lot of ways, if you think about it, is more practical and day-to-day for a lot of people than even the stock market, |
| 0:30.1 | bond market, various elements of macroeconomics. We talk about a lot and so forth. I wrote a piece |
| 0:36.9 | in May of last year that really tried to |
| 0:40.4 | pour out some of my feelings about the housing market and particularly what a primary residence |
| 0:46.2 | means to the balance sheet of an investor, what it doesn't mean and how I sort of think |
| 0:51.3 | philosophically about housing. This talk today is a bit more ad hoc to the current situation. |
| 1:00.7 | I'm going to conclude with some practical takeaways for you, |
| 1:03.7 | but I just think it would benefit people to kind of understand a deeper level of what's going on. |
| 1:08.6 | And to do so, we're going to incorporate charts that those you watch in the video |
| 1:12.8 | will see up on the screen and those listening to the podcast can receive the package of |
| 1:19.2 | the actual charts. |
| 1:20.1 | So you know how almost every week say you got to readdividendcafe.com because there's some charts |
| 1:25.3 | that'll be great. |
| 1:26.4 | This is a very chart-centric conversation. and so we're incorporating that in the video |
| 1:31.0 | for you. |
| 1:32.6 | First and foremost, I just want to kind of out of the way, get out of the way, the fact that |
| 1:39.3 | I don't really believe that one's consideration of housing ought to be something that creates a lot of distress or that creates a lot of headache. |
| 1:53.9 | If one is trying to make a decision about making a purchase, there's some financial practicality involved there. |
| 2:03.1 | One's looking at refinancing a mortgage. If one is looking at investment property, there's plenty of angles here. But the least relevant |
... |
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