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FiveThirtyEight Politics

About Those 2024 Polls ...

FiveThirtyEight Politics

ABC News

Politics, News

4.620.6K Ratings

🗓️ 29 November 2021

⏱️ 47 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The crew debates the value of polling whether Americans want Biden and Trump to run again in 2024. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

All right, shaking the silly's out.

0:02.2

You're shaking the silly's out.

0:04.9

I think they tell kids to do that when they get overexcited.

0:07.8

Yeah, shaking is itself inherently a little silly,

0:11.0

so that feels weird to me.

0:12.7

I think it's okay to be a little silly

0:14.1

talking about 2024 polling personally, but.

0:17.1

That's true.

0:18.1

This can be a silly conversation too.

0:20.1

Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics Podcast.

0:30.4

I'm Gailin Drunk.

0:31.8

Polsters are already asking Americans about who they want to run for president in 2024.

0:37.5

In particular, whether they want another matchup between President Biden and former President Trump.

0:43.0

Usually, I think we'd probably say that it's much too early to dive into all of that.

0:46.8

Except the situation is pretty unique.

0:49.7

There isn't an overwhelming consensus among Democratic voters

0:52.9

that President Biden should run again,

0:54.8

or that he'd be their best shot at keeping the White House if he did.

0:58.3

Meanwhile, former President Trump appears to be building a shadow campaign for president

1:02.4

and has sizeable support from his party.

1:04.8

So we're going to ask what all of this polling about 2024 actually tells us.

1:09.5

And ask how we should think about the prospects of Biden and Trump running again.

...

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