A Numbers Game | May 8, 2026 | Hour 3
VSiN Best Bets
VSiN
4.4 • 559 Ratings
🗓️ 8 May 2026
⏱️ 45 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | This is Bicent, the Sports Betting Network. |
| 0:09.3 | The numbers told the story they always do. |
| 0:11.8 | It's one of those idiots who believe in analytics. |
| 0:13.9 | This is a numbers game with Gil Alexander gone Bicin. |
| 0:17.7 | Hour number three of a numbers game at Visan, the sports betting network, Visan.eson.com Game Plus, ihard, Radio, YouTube TV. And of course, Sirius XM Channel 158, Gil Alexander. Kelly's behind the glass, because Steve Fezick is about to happen with Fezik Fridays. Real quick, the tweets. Colin Murphy, I'm so sorry for opening that positive regression can of worms. I regret sending that tweet now. Hopefully my tweeting experiences done positive regression. Okay. Trojan Ram. Yo, I thought this was supposed to be a classy show. I tune in late in the first words I hear out of Felica's mouth is vomit and diarrhea. I expect this kind of language on follow the buddy, but not on a numbers game. I'm sure. |
| 2:27.4 | I'm sure it happens time to time everywhere. Lionel G. Williams. Good morning, Gilling Kelly. I heard you take on Hardin. I completely agree. What about Evan Mobley scoring nine points and grabbing one rebound? What's his excuse? Just a horrible game. Brian Point Schaefer listening to Philly radio right now. a Philly reporter came on the radio said from what he's hearing is that Embed is highly unlikely to play today. Shaking my head, the process is over. And Kevin Ryan, Gill, you and Kelly are still the clubhouse leaders and Vieson show pairing, but Stormy and JVT are on your heels. They are an awesome pair. Yes, they are. I hope everybody tunes in and listens to them every single day. As I do hope you listen to Steve Fessick, the star of Fezick Fridays. Let's go. Whether it's at the sportsbook or anywhere else in the casino, he's always helping us find an edge. It's time for Fessick Fridays. Starring Steve Fessick, the only back-to-back winner of the Hildon Super Contest, back in the day. And he's one of many contests since. How are you, sir? I don't know if you've noticed, but JVT is looking good. He did a whole workout thing, lost tons of weight. Yeah, I was like, Kelly, you know, is the superstar, but JVT right on his heels. So I might tune into that show just to check him out. He's looking so good. Just to check him out because he's looking. Well, it's a different kind of show, Steve. But okay, whatever your reasons are, it's fine. Let's start with yesterday's appearance, thanks to Bill Crackenberger, of Paul Mattias, who came on and spent a couple segments with us talking about the computer-assisted wagering debacle, can we call it, or just nightmare that's happening in horse racing. |
| 2:28.6 | You had some comments on it. |
| 2:30.1 | Yeah, let me caveat this. |
| 2:31.3 | I don't bet horses. |
| 2:33.2 | I know nothing about horses. |
| 2:55.9 | There we go. That's your segment, boys and girls. However, I know a whole lot about advantage gambling. And in general, and a lot of people are really upset about the CAWs that are able to bet right at post. Now, I don't understand this analogy at all where they're talking about it. It would be like, you know, aligns minus seven and be able to lay minus five and a half in many ways it's the opposite it's the opposite i agree with you instead of being able to lay minus seven it's like you have to lay minus nine okay |
| 3:00.9 | and here's why the more money you bet on a horse the worst the odds get imagine this so we'll |
| 3:07.2 | use an example of typical horse race so you bet a horse at The worst the odds get, imagine this. So we'll use an example of typical horse |
| 3:08.7 | race. So you bet a horse at 8 to 1, right? And you bet your $10,000 and like, that's probably |
| 3:13.5 | going to compromise the odds I get a little bit, right? And then I'm going to bet them again at 7 to 1. |
| 3:19.2 | But guess what? Now the 8 to 1, it keeps dropping. The more money you bet, so this shows how much money these people are making. |
| 3:26.9 | Because they're willing to totally ruin their rate of return on their initial bets. |
| 3:33.2 | So instead of getting 8 to 1, they're bringing it all the way down to 5 to 1 on every bet they make on a horse. |
| 3:39.0 | But the key here, and that shows how profitable they are, because obviously if they just bet half, the horse would only drop the plus 650. It really doesn't matter, in my opinion, whether they bet it earlier or late. I mean, they're tipping their hand a little bit. But the bottom line is any horse that is a break-even horse, these computer groups are going to bet. Why? Because they get a 10% |
| 4:00.8 | rebate. Win or lose. Now, maybe it's a little bit less than 10. I'm just going to use 10 by example. |
| 4:05.8 | So how good is that? When you get a 10% rebate, win or lose, that's like doing 20 cents better. |
| 4:12.1 | So if you had like a horse that was pick them, |
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