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More or Less

A new Covid-19 drug and a second wave

More or Less

BBC

News Commentary, Science, Mathematics, News

4.63.7K Ratings

🗓️ 27 June 2020

⏱️ 9 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The steroid Dexamethasone has been hailed a “major breakthrough” in the treatment of Covid-19. But what does the data say? Plus, why haven’t mass protests led to a second wave?

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hello and welcome to more or less on the BBC World Service, with the programme all about the

0:05.2

numbers all around us in the news and in life, and I'm Tim Halford. Over the last month,

0:11.2

Black Lives Matter protests have taken place in the UK, the US and across the world.

0:17.2

Matt Hancock, the UK's health secretary, warned that gathering in large groups risked spreading

0:23.2

the virus. We're now a few weeks on from these protests, and we've been watching the data,

0:29.2

but no spike in infections has appeared. So why is that? We wondered. Ruth Alexander has been looking

0:36.6

into this. Hello Ruth. Hi Tim. Yes, looking at the UK's statistics, it seems surprising that there's

0:42.3

been no spike in the national or local data, but have consulted various experts and they confirmed

0:48.8

that indeed so far there hasn't been. There have been a few small spikes in cases in a few local

0:55.2

authorities in the last couple of weeks, but there's no obvious pattern to these that links to

1:00.4

the protests. And in the US, the number of cases in some states has been rising since restrictions

1:06.6

were eased, but analysis by the National Bureau of Economic Research of more than 300 US cities

1:13.4

found no evidence that the demonstrations reignited the spread of COVID-19 in the three weeks that

1:20.4

followed them. So why haven't these gatherings, in some cases, mass gatherings resulted in a

1:25.2

noticeable increase in cases? It's a question I put to Devis Shreda, Professor and Chair of Global

1:31.2

Public Health at Edinburgh University. One thing might be that the pictures may not accurately

1:36.4

capture how people were distancing, and I know in the Black Lives Matter protests, there were

1:41.0

quite a lot of use of masks, of hand sanitizer, of people being quite cautious to make sure they

1:46.3

work one to two meters away from other people. I think the second thing is one thing we're learning

1:50.4

with is virus is where it transmits and where it doesn't. Culinary research seems to show that this virus

1:55.2

dies within minutes. Outside, so if someone sits on a bench and touches it and it's a warm sunny day

2:00.2

and then moves on and someone else sits there a few minutes later, the chance of them captain

...

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