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BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast

885: BiggerNews: America's Path to "Renter Nation" as Prices Rise, Rates Stay Put w/J Scott

BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast

BiggerPockets

Investing, Education, Business

4.816.6K Ratings

🗓️ 2 February 2024

⏱️ 46 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The US economy has survived the past few years surprisingly well. But there's one huge threat on the horizon no one is watching. With layoffs and bankruptcies already starting to tick up, a new wave of misfortune could hit consumers EVEN as inflation cools, interest rates begin to drop, and asset prices hit an all-time high. What's coming for us that only the most economically inclined know about? We're about to break it down on this BiggerNews.  J Scott, investing legend and author of too many real estate books to name, is back on the show to talk about housing crashes, economic predictions, mortgage rates, consumer sentiment, and the silent threat to the US economy that nobody is thinking about. J knows the game better than most and is the furthest thing from a bubble boy or permabull. He’s got his finger on the economic pulse and uses the most up-to-date economic data to form his opinions. On today's episode, J shares whether or not he believes another housing crash is coming, how America could become a "renter nation" over the next decade, whether or not home prices will stay high once rates drop, how low mortgage rates could go in 2024, and the biggest economic risk to businesses, employees, and anyone operating in the US economy.  In This Episode We Cover: The likelihood of another housing crash, especially if America falls into a recession  A silent risk to the US economy that could hit everyday Americans hard  Why Americans are pessimistic about the economy but spending more than ever  The economic "musical chairs" which must come to a stop sometime soon  Why home prices could continue to rise as mortgage rates begin to fall  Mortgage rate predictions and J's forecast for how low they'll go in 2024 The big bank bailout program that could be coming to a close   And So Much More! Links from the Show Find an Agent Find a Lender BiggerPockets Youtube Channel BiggerPockets Forums BiggerPockets Pro Membership BiggerPockets Bookstore BiggerPockets Bootcamps BiggerPockets Podcast BiggerPockets Merch Listen to All Your Favorite BiggerPockets Podcasts in One Place Learn About Real Estate, The Housing Market, and Money Management with The BiggerPockets Podcasts Get More Deals Done with The BiggerPockets Investing Tools Find a BiggerPockets Real Estate Meetup in Your Area Expand Your Investing Knowledge With the BiggerPockets Books Be a Guest on the BiggerPockets Podcast Ask David Your Question Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Dave's Instagram Grab All of J’s Top Real Estate Investing Books Catch Dave on The “On the Market” Podcast 7 Tips for Successfully Investing in ANY Market Condition With J Scott Books Mentioned in the Show: Real Estate by the Numbers by J Scott Connect with J: J's Website Click here to listen to the full episode: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/real-estate-885 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hey everyone, welcome to the BiggerPockets podcast. I'm your host today, Dave Meyer, joined by one of the

0:06.7

OG original Bigger Pockets members, podcast hosts, all sorts of things, Mr. Jay Scott himself. Jay, thank you for joining us today.

0:18.0

Thanks for having me back. I feel like it's been a minute since I've talked to you guys.

0:22.0

I know, it's been way too long.

0:25.0

How far back do you go with bigger pockets?

0:28.0

2008.

0:30.0

Six months before I flipped my first house, I found bigger pockets because I did a Google search for how to flip houses.

0:37.0

And so yeah, I think it was something like March or April of 2008.

0:42.0

That's incredible.

0:43.0

I bet half of our listeners right now

0:45.2

didn't even know that BiggerPockets was around in 2008.

0:48.1

Not to date you, Jay, but just to explain

0:51.5

that we have a lot of experience of bigger pockets.

0:54.3

We've actually been around for about 20 years which is incredible and Jay has been one of the most

0:59.8

influential investors and participants in our community.

1:03.5

So we do have a great show that I'm very excited to have Jay on for

1:08.4

because we're gonna be answering questions,

1:10.5

some of the our audience and some of the internet's biggest questions

1:14.0

about the economy, about the real estate market.

1:16.0

Hold us, I thought we were talking about

1:19.0

Taylor Swift in the football game

1:21.0

was coming up. I'm not prepared for an economic

...

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