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TFTC: A Bitcoin Podcast

#720 Global Liquidity Has Peaked with Michael Howell

TFTC: A Bitcoin Podcast

Marty Bent

Technology

4.8804 Ratings

🗓️ 25 February 2026

⏱️ 62 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Marty sits down with Michael Howell, founder of Cross Border Capital, to discuss the state of global liquidity, its impact on Bitcoin and risk assets, and what the current cycle peak means for investors navigating the road ahead.

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Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

You've had a dynamic where money has become freer than free.

0:10.0

If you talk about a Fed just gone nuts, all the central banks going nuts.

0:16.0

So it's all acting like safe haven.

0:18.0

I believe that in a world where central bankers are tripping over themselves to devalue their currency,

0:24.4

Bitcoin wins.

0:25.3

In the world of fiat currencies, Bitcoin is the victor.

0:29.2

I mean, that's part of the bold case for Bitcoin.

0:31.9

If you're not paying attention, you probably should be.

0:36.4

Michael Al, welcome back to the show.

0:39.3

Thanks, Moni.

0:40.0

Very good to be here.

0:41.4

It's great to have you.

0:42.2

And for those of you who have not joined an episode of TFTC with Michael, he's the founder

0:47.0

of Cross Border Capital, which is over 35 years of tracking global liquidity.

0:52.5

Michael also authors a substack capital wars,

0:56.0

which I highly recommend you subscribe to. We're going to talk about his latest piece that he

1:00.2

dropped yesterday. And he also built the GLI, the global liquidity index, which is the most

1:06.4

widely cited liquidity measure in macro. And I think it's very fitting that we're recording today

1:14.7

because it seems like the liquidity cycle may be crescendoing, topping out. And you wrote a

1:21.5

newsletter and published it yesterday talking about what's next for Bitcoin, 30K or 90K. And so I think jumping into just a

1:31.6

state of global liquidity in general, where we are, where we may be going, and then we can

1:37.0

jump into how it may affect Bitcoin as well. Sure. Okay. Let me kick off. Essentially,

...

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