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Full Signal

4 trades to BUY NOW for the 2026 macro cycle! | Eric Wallerstein

Full Signal

Phil Rosen

Investing, Business

4.818 Ratings

🗓️ 4 June 2026

⏱️ 35 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Eric Wallerstein is the chief macro strategist for Clocktower Group, and was previously an advisor to Stephen Miran at the Federal Reserve Board as well as at the White House Council of Economic Advisors. He joins Phil Rosen on Full Signal to discuss how to trade against the current macro backdrop, betting on US exceptionalism and fading Europe, and being right early on the the Iran conflict.


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Timestamps:


0:00 - Kevin Warsh's Fed regime

1:08 - Where rates go from here

3:46 - US dollar bull case

5:04 - The US banks trade

8:19 - NATO breakup thesis

12:01 - Steelman case for Europe

13:28 - Poland, Norway, Sweden trade

15:52 - The 2 Europes trade

20:50 - US exceptionalism and Iran

31:56 - Working with Fed Governor Miran


Disclosure: Brokerage services provided by Open to the Public Investing Inc, member FINRA & SIPC. Investing involves risk. Generated Assets is an interactive analysis tool by Public Advisors. Output is for informational purposes only and is not an investment recommendation or advice. See disclosures at public.com/disclosures/ga. See terms of Match Program at https://public.com/disclosures/matchprogram Matched funds must remain in your account for at least 5 years. Match rate and other terms are subject to change at any time.


#podcast #investing #markets #macro #stocks #bitcoin #fed

Transcript

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0:00.0

Eric, you consistently published some of the best macro research in the business, and you've

0:04.1

also worked at the Federal Reserve.

0:05.7

So I have to ask you, what's your read on this new Kevin Warsh regime?

0:09.2

I said, I think Kevin is going to do a great job.

0:12.4

I think he was a fantastic pick.

0:14.1

I also think he has a huge mandate ahead of him that people aren't really paying attention

0:18.5

to, which is the regulatory regime, the Fed's balance sheet, and monetary policy implementation.

0:24.6

So everyone's very, you know, worried or thinking a lot about what will he do on rates.

0:30.6

You know, he is much more than one vote. He is the chair.

0:33.6

But I think day one for Kevin looks a lot more like what happened when we ended quantitative

0:39.7

tightening.

0:40.6

What are we doing now with pumping tens of billions of dollars of liquidity into the market each

0:46.0

month?

0:47.0

Why are we doing that?

0:48.0

What are the ramifications?

0:49.5

And then how do we further press forward with right-sizing the regulatory environment, making sure banks aren't constrained

0:56.8

from actually lending to the real economy. So I think there's a lot more to central banking

1:01.5

than just the policy rate. And fortunately, he's very focused on that. So I'm excited to see,

1:06.6

you know, the next few meetings. I think a lot of market watchers and commentators are focused on the hike or the cut

1:13.6

debate, and right now markets have pretty much priced out cuts, it seems like, for this year. What's your read on this? And do you think markets are wrong on their call?

1:23.3

No, I think the policy rate is mostly a function of the macro environment. And before I ran,

1:29.4

I think there was a very credible case for disinflation, which still exists underneath the

...

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