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The Realignment

388 | Neil Howe: The Fourth Turning Is Here - How America's Crisis Will End

The Realignment

The Realignment

Saager Enjeti, Technology, Policy, News, Marshall Kosloff, International Relations, Politics, News Commentary, Public Policy, U.s. Politics, National Security, Economics

4.82.5K Ratings

🗓️ 18 July 2023

⏱️ 64 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Neil Howe, author of The Fourth Turning Is Here: What the Seasons of History Tell Us About How and When This Crisis Will End, joins The Realignment. Neil and Marshall discuss his follow up to The Fourth Turning, his 1997 bestseller that predicted America's current era of political turmoil and international disorder, how and why the crisis will resolve over the next decade, the impact of generational turnover on American history, and why today's challenges rhyme with those of the 1930s-1940s.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Marshall here, welcome back to the Rail Limit.

0:08.1

I'm really pumped to share this episode.

0:10.6

I'm speaking with Neil Howe, author of The Fourth Turning is Here,

0:14.3

what the seasons of history tell us about how and when this crisis will end.

0:19.1

Back in the 1990s, Neil, along with his departed colleague William Strauss,

0:23.6

wrote The Fourth Turning, which made the provocative argument that modern life moves in generational,

0:29.1

historical cycles, what they call turnings, despite the peace of prosperity of the 90s.

0:34.6

They predicted that after 2008, we'd enter a crisis period or a fourth turning,

0:39.9

prediction that nearly perfectly rhymes with many of the challenges faced today.

0:44.7

Now, Neil argues that many of the themes and topics we've ever

0:48.7

missed out on this show from geopolitics and great power conflict to party real

0:52.8

amendments and stipple strife at home contribute to what he and William Strauss

0:58.4

predicted back in 1997. So, so many different topics that have been hit here.

1:04.4

The thing I noticed is that whether or not you agree with Neil and William's theories or

1:10.0

predictions, we should understand that so much of their approach to shank what we live today,

1:13.7

they were actually the ones who came up with the term millennium, so their thoughts on

1:18.9

generational change are incredibly important. I cannot recommend this and The Fourth Turning

1:25.8

enough. Such enjoyable books that provide a lot of value and favors to understand

1:29.4

the world, so I hope you all enjoyed this conversation and I know that I could make this

1:33.3

comprehensively. Huge thank you to the Foundation for American Innovation,

1:37.0

supporting the podcast work. Hope you all enjoy this conversation.

1:46.4

Neil, how welcome to The Realignment.

...

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