The Alliance for Decision Education is holding a student forecasting tournament called

Forecasting the Future on November 11th. Registration is open now.

The registration deadline is November 10th and students can win up to $1,500 by making predictions

based on historical and current data. More details in the middle of this episode.

And you can go to Kitted, KITteded. shop

and use the code Smart50 SMART50 at checkout and you will get half off a set of thinking superpowers in a box.

If you want to know more about what I'm talking about, check it out, middle of the party's in there.

Yeah, with the cool, we look happy.

They were quiet.

But then talking about the power of the dark school.

Everybody.

We're cool, we get by happy, they were quiet. Welcome to the You Are Not So Smart Podcast. Episode 29.

Episode. Episode 299. 299. On average people reduced their beliefs on this zero to 100 scale by about 20%.

So if you, which means if you started at 100,

you're at 80.

If you started at 80, you're at 67 or something like that.

And there was variability around that number though. So another way of looking at this data is of the people who started out believing the conspiracy who were over 50, one in four ended up under 50 disbelieving the conspiracy theory.

So one in four people went from unbalance, this is true, to unbalance this is false. The person who was just speaking that was Thomas H. Costello.

Thomas H. Costello is a professor of psychology at American University and he's describing the astounding results of a study that, and this is true more people have sent me over the last few weeks

than any other study in the history of making this podcast and that is because he and his colleagues at

MIT and Cornell they created a debunkbot, a chat gpT-powered conversation partner that in their research consistently

reduced people's beliefs in conspiracy theories no matter how strongly they

...