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The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast

208: Passing Distribution Is Changing Fantasy Football

The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast

iHeartPodcasts

Sports, Fantasy Sports, Football

4.83.2K Ratings

🗓️ 8 January 2019

⏱️ 11 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Offenses in the NFL are constantly changing. And …

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is the Lay-Round Podcast with your host, JJ Zacharyse.

0:12.0

What's up everyone, it's JJ Zacharyse in the editor-in-chief at Fandall and at NumberFier

0:16.6

dot com and this episode 200 native of the Lay-Round podcast.

0:20.1

One of the many shows that are part of the number fire podcast network, thanks for tuning

0:23.9

in.

0:24.9

One of the things that I do at the end of each fantasy football season is look at things

0:28.1

at a macro level and see how the leagues seem to change from one year to the next.

0:32.0

In doing so you're able to get a good grasp on why some things went the way they did in

0:35.8

fantasy football, and you can try and determine whether trends are actually emerging or not.

0:40.3

I did a podcast like this one last year where I talked about how passing efficiency was

0:44.0

down, but there were reasons for it.

0:46.0

We saw an absurd number of quarterback injuries last year.

0:48.8

That was one of the main reasons.

0:50.5

When you've got a ton of backup quarterback starting for teams, you're bound to see

0:54.0

less effectiveness through the air.

0:55.9

And things certainly bounced back in 2018.

0:58.5

According to NumberFier's expected points model in 2017, quarterbacks were adding about

1:03.1

0.06 expected points per dropback.

1:06.0

That came after years of increased efficiency.

1:08.7

The 2016 season, so the one before that, saw quarterbacks add 0.12 points per dropback.

1:14.5

That's double the efficiency than what we saw the following year.

1:17.7

That was the first obvious sign that 2017 was an outlier.

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