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The Realignment

207 | David Kilcullen: Insurgencies, Resistance, and Russian Strategy and Tactics

The Realignment

The Realignment

Saager Enjeti, Technology, Policy, News, Marshall Kosloff, International Relations, Politics, News Commentary, Public Policy, U.s. Politics, National Security, Economics

4.82.5K Ratings

🗓️ 4 March 2022

⏱️ 66 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

For day three of The Realignment's near-daily Ukraine coverage, Marshall spoke with Dr. David Kilcullen, a theorist and practitioner of guerilla and unconventional warfare. They cover the present state of Russia's invasion of Ukraine and whether the conflict could transition into a drawn-out war of resistance/insurgency. Dr. Kilcullen's perspective is drawn from a 25-year career in the Australian Army and postings to the U.S. Defense and State Departments during the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. He is a professor at Arizona State University and the University of New South Wales and the author of The Dragon and the Snakes: How the Rest Learned to Fight the West, The Ledger: Accounting for Failure in Afghanistan, Out of the Mountains: The Coming Age of the Urban Guerilla, Counterinsurgency, and The Accidental Guerilla: Fighting Small Wars in the Midst of a Big One. SUPPORT/SEND US A TIP: https://buy.stripe.com/bIYdRx0gc6qjaEEcMM REALIGNMENT NEWSLETTER: https://therealignment.substack.com/ BOOKSHOP: https://bookshop.org/shop/therealignment

Transcript

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0:00.0

Dr. Dave Cokallan, welcome to the realignment.

0:02.9

Thanks for having me.

0:03.6

It's great to finally be on here with you guys.

0:06.2

Yeah, I'm excited to speak with you too.

0:09.5

Let's start here.

0:10.9

You are a person who served in the Australian military.

0:14.8

You are an expert encounter and certainty.

0:17.8

We're going to get into that because the broad topic I'd like to focus on you

0:20.4

is this idea of lessons learned from the past 20 years,

0:23.7

how rushes thinking about all these realities.

0:26.4

But let's just start with your military assessment with what is happening

0:29.8

on the ground in Ukraine right now.

0:32.5

Well, the very big picture is that about a week ago,

0:36.4

the Russians threw out the complete playbook that they've been employing for about 20 years.

0:41.2

Right. So we're in a bit of a new world.

0:45.4

For 20 years under Vladimir Putin, the Russians have done incredibly well with this kind

0:51.3

of incremental and big US approach, doing just enough to get what they want,

0:57.5

but not enough to trigger a major response.

1:00.8

And that's worked well for them in a variety of places.

1:05.0

But this time last week, they threw that out the window and went for the jugular

1:10.1

to really try to quickly seize and decapitate the Ukrainian government.

1:16.5

That failed on the first day of the war.

...

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