2025 Crucial Housing Market Shift Pt 2: Sales, Inventory & Affordability - 383
How to Buy a Home: The #1 First Time Home Buyer Podcast
David Sidoni
4.8 • 891 Ratings
🗓️ 26 August 2025
⏱️ 42 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Part two of this special series dives into three critical pieces of the 2025 housing market shift: home sales, inventory, and affordability. David Sidoni breaks down the numbers, explains why headlines can be misleading, and shows how today’s changes open up new opportunities for first-time buyers.
The 2025 housing market is in the middle of a transformation unlike anything seen in decades. In part two of this three-part series, David Sidoni unpacks the latest on home sales, shifting inventory, and affordability. He shares how existing home sales have dropped to just over 4 million in recent years, but new data and falling mortgage rates are signaling a move back toward healthier levels. Headlines might scream contradictions — sluggish sales one day, rising applications the next — but that’s exactly why staying educated matters. Inventory is building, builders are offering incentives, and affordability is showing signs of life. For first-time buyers, understanding these shifts is the key to beating the rush and securing a home before competition heats back up.
Quote: “If you take advantage of this shift now, you can beat the bum rush of a bazillion other buyers.”
Highlights:
- Existing home sales data from 2019–2025 and what it means for first-time buyers
- Why headlines about sales and applications seem contradictory
- The role of new construction and builder incentives in boosting supply
- How declining mortgage rates are already improving affordability
- Actionable insights on how to prepare for the next market phase
Referenced Episodes:
- Part 1 of this 2025 Crucial Housing Market Shift series (home prices & mortgage rates)
- 355 - Real Answers Pt 4: Should I Rent or Buy in 2025?
Sources:
Zillow, Redfin, Goldman Sachs, Housing Wire, Ris Media, US News, Bloomberg, The National Association of REALTORS®, Realtor.com, Homes.com, Zelman & Associates, Brian Buffini and other housing economists, The Mortgage Bankers Association, U.S. Census Bureau, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, financial Samurai, Moody’s, Inman, US News, Apollo Global, Wells Fargo, and the National Association of Home Builders.
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David Sidoni, the "How to Buy a Home Guy," is a seasoned real estate professional and consumer advocate with two decades of experience helping first-time homebuyers navigate the real estate market. His podcast, "How to Buy a Home," is a trusted resource for anyone looking to buy their first home. It offers expert advice, actionable tips, and inspiring stories from real first-time homebuyers. With a focus on making the home-buying process accessible and understandable, David breaks down complex topics into easy-to-follow steps, covering everything from budgeting and financing to finding the right home and making an offer.
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This is one part of a 3 part series highlighting the most significant housing market shift since this podcast began in 2019. Check out the podcast library for the full series for a complete update.
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | You're listening to the 2025 forecast and predictions crucial update series, a special run of |
| 0:04.9 | episodes highlighting the biggest change in the housing market that we've seen since this |
| 0:08.6 | podcast began back in 2019. For the full series, head to the podcast library and be sure you get |
| 0:14.3 | all the latest updates on this new evolving market. And the new advantages for first-time home |
| 0:20.1 | buyers. Let's go. Welcome back to part |
| 0:23.2 | two of this three-part series of the big change happening here in late August 2025. Let's keep it going. |
| 0:29.3 | How to Buy a Home Educates, protects, and connects first-time home buyers to qualified vetted |
| 0:33.7 | realtors in their area, whether you're looking for DIY information or step-by-step guidance. |
| 0:38.7 | How to Buy a Home is the number one resource for first-time home buyers. What has happened in my How to Buy a Homies, I'm still David Sedoney, and this is part two. So if you didn't listen to Part 1, you might be a little bit lost because I'm going to dive right in. It's a three-part series going |
| 0:54.6 | over the number of the data of the analysis and the big change that's happening in 2025, |
| 0:59.3 | and we're going to be looking at the predictions for what's coming. Now, in part one, we covered |
| 1:03.6 | home prices and mortgage interest rates. The topics we have left to discuss are, one, home sales, |
| 1:10.0 | two, inventory, of course, three, affordability, |
| 1:13.8 | and then finally I'm going to wrap this whole thing up with a few new tips to help you take |
| 1:17.6 | advantage of the changing 2025 market. Changes we haven't seen in decades. So let's get part |
| 1:24.6 | two going, starting with sales. |
| 1:32.0 | Now, the existing home sales, it's a number of homes that got sold. |
| 1:36.8 | In 2019, we were at 5.3 million total for the whole year. |
| 1:39.1 | 2020, we dropped to 5.16. |
| 1:43.3 | 2021, we jumped back up again to 6.12. In 2022, we dropped to 5.03 million. And then in 23, only 4.09 million. |
| 1:51.7 | And in 24, only 4.06. And for 2025, of course, we're not done yet. So there are estimates that have been out there. |
| 1:59.2 | But as I'm recording this, |
... |
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