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The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff

2023 NFL First Thoughts: Kansas City Chiefs

The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff

Adam Chernoff

Football, Sports

4.81.3K Ratings

🗓️ 18 July 2023

⏱️ 7 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

RAS App Download Link: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/ras-insight-from-pro-bettors/id6450368307

An early season pre-preview of the Kansas City Chiefs. 

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Good morning, everybody. Today is Tuesday, July 18th. Thank you for making me a part of your morning in this episode of first thoughts talking about the Kansas City Chiefs.

0:10.0

A lot of pressure on this episode. A few folks are listening to this one with a very keen ear for the Kansas City Chiefs. So there's a need to do it justice. And I've pushed this to the end because I knew there was some added

0:22.6

pressure on this episode. So hopefully I'll do this justice. I'm going to try my best not to talk

0:27.5

about the offense or at least talk about them as little as possible and give you something

0:31.9

different to think about with the Chiefs going into 2023. But inevitably with a team that has

0:37.4

Patrick Mahomes, there has to be some

0:39.3

reference to the offense that the chiefs have. I'm going to start this off with a stat to frame

0:44.9

this entire episode. And this was posted two weeks ago by Kansas City Sports Network.

0:50.6

Here's the stat. Quarterback career win-loss record when opposing team score 28 or more points,

0:59.1

including the postseason. Here we go. Josh Allen, 5 and 10. Lamar Jackson, 4 and 10.

1:07.9

Aaron Rogers, 17 and 46. Justin Herbert, 5 and 10. Aaron Rogers, 17 and 46. Justin Herbert 5 and 16. Joe Burrow, 2 and 8. Tom Brady, 20 and 33.

1:22.1

Patrick Mahomes, 17 and 13.

1:29.4

Think about that for a minute.

1:34.7

We just talked about Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Rogers, Herbert, Burrow, Brady,

1:41.7

all of those quarterbacks way below 500 in terms of their record when their opponent scores 28 or more points.

1:44.0

And it makes sense when you're playing a team that scores more than four touchdowns,

1:48.4

not going to win a lot of those games.

1:50.6

Patrick Mahomes, above 500, 17 and 13.

1:55.8

And the reason that this to me becomes really interesting as we go into 23 is because it reflects, again,

2:03.3

he's been in the league since 2018, when he took over a start or drafted 2017.

2:09.5

Already 30 times he's faced this situation where his opponent scores more than 28 points.

2:15.4

There's been a ton of emphasis not only on this

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