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Rates & Barrels: A show about Baseball

2023 Deep Sleepers: Pitchers

Rates & Barrels: A show about Baseball

The Athletic

Sports, Mlb, Fantasy Baseball, Baseball

4.7874 Ratings

🗓️ 23 February 2023

⏱️ 58 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Eno and Al talk about processes for finding deep pitching sleepers, and then they discuss several pitchers whom fantasy managers should tuck away as late-round targets, especially in deeper league. They consider three groups of pitchers who may be undervalued: contact managers, pitchers on lesser teams and rookies.


Rundown

1:12 - Eno talks about the projection system he uses to identify sleepers

7:05 - Is contact management actually a thing?

9:14 - Deep sleepers: contact managers (Kyle Bradish, Tyler Wells, Graham Ashcraft, Hayden Wesneski, Nick Martinez)

30:22 - Deep sleepers: starters on lesser teams (Spencer Turnbull, Matthew Boyd, Michael Lorenzen, Shintaro Fujinami, Drew Rucinski, Paul Blackburn, Braxton Garrett, Ryan Yarbrough)

48:56 - Deep sleepers: rookies (Andrew Painter, Luis Ortiz, Ryne Nelson)


Follow Eno on Twitter: @enosarris

Follow Al on Twitter: @almelchiorBB

e-mail: ratesandbarrels@theathletic.com


Subscribe to The Athletic at $2/month for the first year: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels


Subscribe to the Rates & Barrels YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/RatesBarrels


Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Welcome, everybody. This is Rates and barrels. Thank you so much for tuning in. I'm Al Melchior. I, of course, am here with

0:21.8

Enos Seris. And we're going to be talking about some deep sleepers for pitchers on this episode.

0:29.0

So there's going to be a lot of good stuff here. And in the process of doing that, we'll talk about

0:33.2

Eno's rankings, pitcher rankings, which are on the athletic, have been up there for a little bit while.

0:38.7

A little bit of methodology talk because there's a new projections system with some different methodology that I think is very cool that we need to talk about.

0:47.3

But before we do dip into all of that, just a reminder that the draft kit is up.

0:52.6

The fancy baseball draft kit is out there on The Athletic.

0:55.9

Get a subscription for just $2 a month for the Athletic.

0:59.8

That will get you, of course, that draft kit and everything else.

1:02.8

$2 a month for the first year.

1:04.6

Just go to theathletic.com slash rates and barrels for that awesome deal.

1:14.5

So, you know, let's just get right into it here and talk about some sleepers. Well, actually, before we talk about the slippers, let's talk about

1:20.4

how you pick your sleepers. So I feel like maybe this is a dumb question, but, you know,

1:26.5

they say there are no such thing.

1:27.8

So I'm just going to go ahead and ask.

1:30.0

I mean, do you, how much do you use your rankings to identify sleepers?

1:34.0

Is it just simply a matter of kind of comparing where you've ranked a pitcher versus where they're coming up in ADP?

1:42.0

Well, one fun thing you can do.

1:43.5

So we got these new projections out out thanks to Jordan Rosenblum.

1:47.8

And the cool thing about them is that they're park adjusted and they include aging.

1:54.1

And then they use stuff and pitching plus to modify three key areas, maybe four.

2:00.8

One is strikeout rate and walk rate.

...

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