2: Meteorology Bureau Abandons Cyclone Forecasts Amidst Extreme Australian Weather Jeremy Zakis Jeremy Zakis reports that the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) has stopped issuing cyclone forecasts for Western Australia for the first time in 50 years. The BOM admi
The John Batchelor Show
John Batchelor
4.5 • 2.8K Ratings
🗓️ 19 October 2025
⏱️ 10 minutes
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Summary
Jeremy Zakis reports that the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) has stopped issuing cyclone forecasts for Western Australia for the first time in 50 years. The BOM admitted its models are failing due to unexpected ocean temperatures and upper atmosphere warming, resulting in unpredictable forecasts. New South Wales has experienced highly erratic weather, including the "hottest October ever" and three seasons—winter's end, spring, and the start of summer—in just two days. The warm temperatures are driving residents to the beaches and pools. Although recent rain has provided abundant food for wildlife, Jeremy warns that the currently lush grass will quickly become tinder dry, creating a severe bushfire hazard if lightning storms arrive before more rain.
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| 0:00.0 | Building a coffee business? |
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| 0:26.1 | I'm John Batchel in Southern New England, |
| 0:29.5 | where it is 55 degrees after a beautiful day. |
| 0:33.3 | Blue sky, we had a little rainless last week, |
| 0:36.3 | but otherwise every day is dry and beautiful, |
| 0:39.1 | with the leaves off now after the rain, |
| 0:42.2 | waiting for nor'easters in winter. |
| 0:48.5 | Jeremy Zakis, my good colleague, is in New South Wales, where it is the other side of the world, |
| 0:51.2 | Southern Hemisphere, coming spring. |
| 0:56.8 | However, the bomb, the Bureau of Meteorology, has declared, we quit. |
| 1:02.3 | We have no idea what's going on. Jeremy, what's happened? They've had a nervous breakdown at Baum. Why? Good evening to you. You know, John. Yes, big news from the Bureau of Meteorology |
| 1:08.3 | here. For the first time in recent history, in fact, in the last 50 years, the Bureau of Meteorology here for the first time in recent history. In fact, |
| 1:11.4 | in the last 50 years, the Bureau of Meteorology has admitted that its models are so wrong |
| 1:17.2 | that the weather is now so unpredictable that they are not going to issue a cyclone forecast |
| 1:22.7 | for Western Australia. Now, this is a big thing here in Australia because the cyclone forecast for |
| 1:28.6 | Western Australia over the summer months tells us just how many cyclones we're going to get across |
| 1:33.0 | pretty much all of Australia. And why that's important is because the emergency services, the farmers, |
| 1:39.9 | everybody who lives up in that region, knows what to expect and knows how to prepare. |
| 1:49.3 | And now the problem is, according to the Bureau of Meteorology, they don't want to issue one because the numbers in the last few years have been starting to be incorrect and slightly wrong, |
| 1:53.9 | but they have completely admitted now that their models just won't predict with any accuracy |
| 1:59.8 | how many cyclones will hit Australia. |
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