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The John Batchelor Show

2/2: UKRAINE: F-16 DOWN, KURSK SALIENT UNANSWERED. ANATOL LIEVEN, QUINCY INSTITUTE

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

News, Arts, Books, Society & Culture

4.52.8K Ratings

🗓️ 30 August 2024

⏱️ 4 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

2/2: UKRAINE: F-16 DOWN, KURSK SALIENT UNANSWERED. ANATOL LIEVEN, QUINCY INSTITUTE
1900 Lemberg

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is the CVSI in the world. I'm John Bachelor with my colleague Anatole

0:08.4

leave it of the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft.

0:12.0

Anatole and I met for the first time during the early stages of the war in Afghanistan,

0:17.3

right after 9-11.

0:19.3

And that's a far piece from the Eurasian part, the Ukrainian War, and the Eurasian part, the Ukrainian war on the Eurasian landmass.

0:26.0

He's been traveling in the Middle East, but also in Asia.

0:31.4

And I'm wondering if you picked up any impression of this Ukrainian war from that distance

0:36.3

is it a concern to they consider escalation a threat does anybody even talk about it

0:41.9

to the Chinese have an opinion that has changed

0:45.0

over these two and a half years of stalemated

0:48.0

combat in the Dunbarst?

0:52.0

Well, of course there are huge differences between Asian countries, but I think it's fair to say that with the exception perhaps of the Iranians, nobody actually wants this war to continue, but nobody at present, well, I mean, America

1:11.0

previously made it very clear that it didn't want anyone else to intervene to try to bring about peace.

1:18.0

You know, America snubbed the Indians and the Brazilians pretty savagely when they put forward proposals.

1:25.4

So you know countries are basically waiting to see how things develop, but I mean, I think that if the were a real chance of peace, you would certainly

1:39.3

see countries like India or led by India are really supporting that effort.

1:48.0

I mean it's being suggested that given the effort that Russia has put into trying to woo what's called the Global South.

1:58.0

An initiative, a US-backed initiative from the Global south, say from bricks, led by India or led by South Africa,

2:07.0

would be very difficult actually diplomatically for the Russians to reject.

2:11.0

They would have to respond to that because you know otherwise it would require you know more or less a U-turn in their global policy so that's one possibility. The Chinese are basically wary. I don't think that they

2:29.6

want they didn't want this war and they wouldn't

2:34.4

because I had quite intensive meetings in China.

...

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