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The John Batchelor Show

2/2: #HEZBOLLAH: Ceasefire and its side letter.. Jonathan Schanzer, FDD

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

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4.62.7K Ratings

🗓️ 28 November 2024

⏱️ 7 minutes

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Summary

2/2: #HEZBOLLAH: Ceasefire and its side letter.. Jonathan Schanzer, FDD

1947 LEBANON

Transcript

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0:00.0

I'm John Nashir.

0:02.0

My colleague Jonathan Shanzer, Senior Vice President, Foundation for the Defense of Democracy,

0:07.0

helping me interpret the Reuters' headlines.

0:09.0

For example, within these last hours, Israeli strikes on Gaza Strip.

0:14.0

And then, no expectations of a swift deal for Gaza after Lebanon ceased fire.

0:20.0

These two items on Reuters suggest there's

0:23.6

more to this story. Hezbollah threatened to continue its rocket and drone barrage, terrifying

0:30.6

the north of Israel, until ceasefire held in Gaza. That is not the case. So what is the case in Gaza? Last time I checked on this,

0:40.6

Jonathan, there was fighting in the north of Gaza, Hamas one more time popping up, taking

0:46.8

a weapon, firing at Israeli troops. I believe I saw several KIA over these last days. What is the

0:53.9

status of the offensive in Gaza to our knowledge?

0:58.1

The status is the status quo, unfortunately. I think that while we're going to see calm in Lebanon,

1:03.8

and by the way, I believe fully that when the Trump administration comes in, the Shiite militias in Iraq and Syria

1:10.3

are likely to go quiet.

1:12.8

It's unclear to me about what happens in the Houthis in Yemen or Iran itself.

1:17.0

But I think what we can say with some certainty is that Hamas is not interested in a long-term deal.

1:23.9

I think that it's very likely that we'll see a continued insurgency, a low-level insurgency

1:31.5

sustained.

1:33.4

And that could go on for weeks, months, years.

1:36.8

We have seen at least one call from someone within Hamas.

1:40.7

It's unclear exactly, you know, the seniority of the person in question. It was an anonymous figure that came out saying that now Hamas is truly prepared to have a discussion about a ceasefire. You know, I think there may be an understanding within the ranks of Hamas that with Hisbalah now stepping away, there's

2:01.7

really not much of a chance for the wider war that Hamas had hoped for, that Yahas Sinwar

...

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