#1654 Demographics of Democracy: Decoding cohorts of voters that will decide the election
Best of the Left - Leftist Perspectives on Progressive Politics, News, Culture, Economics and Democracy
Jay Tomlinson
4.5 • 3.4K Ratings
🗓️ 10 September 2024
⏱️ 149 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Air Date 9/10/2024
It's said that we live in a melting pot here in the United States. Perhaps it's more of a salad bar, who knows? In any case, there are a lot of people coming from a lot of different backgrounds, cultures, histories, and geographies all about to vote in a few weeks. Today, we try to understand, at least roughly, how people’s backgrounds influence their vote.
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KEY POINTS
KP 2: The Gender Gap Is Widening In The 2024 Election - What A Day - Air Date 9-4-24
KP 4: What Will Black Male Voters Do In 2024? - AJ+ - Air Date 7-7-24
KP 6: How Michigan explains American politics - Vox - Air Date 1-11-24
(50:47) NOTE FROM THE EDITOR
On the nature of demographic cohorts and the movement of the Democratic Party
DEEPER DIVES
(57:01) SECTION A: THE MIXED BAG
(1:28:15) SECTION B: LATINO AND BLACK VOTERS
(2:03:35) SECTION C: WHITE AND RURAL VOTERS
SHOW IMAGE
Description: A composite image showing red and blue silhouettes of men and women yelling at each other, two with megaphones. A faded diptych of V.P. Harris and D. Trump are in the background.
Credit: Composite Design: A. Hoffman.
Photo 1: “Kamala Harris” by Gage Skidmore, Flickr | License: CC BY-SA 2.0 | Changes: Cropped, faded
Photo 2: “Donald Trump” by Gage Skidmore, Flickr | License: CC BY-SA 2.0 | Changes: Cropped, faded
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to this episode of the award-winning Best of Left podcast. It's said that we live in a |
| 0:08.0 | melting pot here in the US. Perhaps it's more of a salad bar, who knows? In any case, there are a lot of people coming from a lot of different backgrounds, cultures, histories and geographies all about to vote in a few weeks. |
| 0:21.0 | Today, we try to understand at least roughly how people's backgrounds |
| 0:26.1 | influence their vote. Sources providing our top takes in about 50 minutes today |
| 0:30.3 | include the NPR Politics Podcast, What a Day, the Wall Street Journal State of |
| 0:35.8 | the Stat, A.J. Plus, Brown University, and Vox. Then in the additional deeper dies |
| 0:41.9 | half the show there will be more on three cohorts or give or take |
| 0:46.7 | section A is a bit of a mixed bag actually including discussions on LGBTQ Muslim, and Asian American and Pacific Islander voters. |
| 0:56.0 | Section B is on Latino and black voters and Section C is white and rural voters. |
| 1:03.0 | Let's start with a group we hear a lot about. |
| 1:09.0 | White voters without college degrees. |
| 1:15.0 | Dominico, they're a key group |
| 1:16.4 | because they're just a really big group in this country, right? |
| 1:20.3 | How have their numbers changed? |
| 1:21.7 | Yeah, they are a big group in the country. |
| 1:23.7 | In fact, in all of the seven swing states that were paying attention to, the three blue |
| 1:28.4 | wall states, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan, the four Sunbelt states, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada. |
| 1:35.0 | They are the largest single group, but they're on the decline everywhere, which makes the |
| 1:40.2 | job for Trump and his campaign to turn out these voters a lot more difficult. |
| 1:44.4 | They're a key group for Trump and they're a shrinking share of the electorate essentially, right? |
| 1:48.7 | Yeah, they are and when you look at all the seven states they've gone down a couple points just since 2020. |
| 1:56.1 | And if you zoom out and go back to 2008, you know, take Wisconsin for example, was |
... |
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