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Thinking Basketball

#14: Projecting the best shooters of the 3-pt era

Thinking Basketball

Thinking Basketball

Sports

4.8965 Ratings

🗓️ 4 April 2019

⏱️ 41 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Which 2019 rookies will become great shooters? Can we predict who will be a great shooter based on the beginning of their career and the years before they entered the NBA? What are the statistical patterns of the greatest shooters of the 3-point era? In this episode I explore some of the best shooters ever and their shooting profiles along with forecasting the best shooters of this year's rookies. Support at www.patreon.com/thinkingbasketball

Transcript

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0:00.0

Thinking Basketball Podcast, my name is Ben.

0:07.0

My name is Ben.

0:10.0

Welcome back to another episode.

0:12.0

Today, I want to talk all about shooting. The

0:16.2

greatest shooters in the history of the league and really what the signs were

0:21.1

how can we forecast great shooters going forward can we look at

0:26.2

guys based on what they've done in college or what they did in the year or two before

0:31.6

they played in the NBA if they're a European prospect or something like that

0:35.2

Can we look at their rookie shooting and successfully forecast

0:40.0

who's going to be a great shooter or an all-time great shooter going forward.

0:46.0

That's the exercise I want to go through today.

0:49.0

That's really the idea behind today's podcast.

0:53.4

So in order to do that, of course, we need to classify who the great shooters are.

0:59.4

You know, have some reasonable proxy for what it means to be a great shooter or an all-time great

1:05.8

shooter. So we'll definitely do that in a second, but just some housekeeping. This is

1:10.9

really in a sense a continuation of the last episode. They both stand alone I wanted them to both stand alone but it's all the same kind of research that I've been doing throughout the course of the year on younger players.

1:24.0

A lot of the YouTube breakdowns I've done on the YouTube channel have been on younger players

1:29.4

and looking at their skill sets and connecting skill sets to forecasting or projecting where they will be based on statistical similarities in other players.

1:40.0

And so that's really the genesis of this research.

1:43.2

This is specifically around, you know, how well can you predict

1:47.2

whether someone's going to be a great shooter.

1:49.2

Or very similar to the last episode,

...

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