Thinking Basketball Podcast, my name is Ben. Welcome back to another episode. Today I want to discuss rookies or young players.

The backstory is I've been making a lot of YouTube videos recently on rookies just did Trey Young last week.

That's up on the Thinking Basketball YouTube channel.

Before that, we looked at

Jaron Jackson Jr., Luc Luca Donchitch, and probably going to get to at least one.

I would like to get to two more rookies, but we'll see what the schedule permits.

And the idea is that when you look at these players and you try to

forecast it's one thing to analyze where they are now and look at their game.

But there's a component of putting them under a microscope at this age where we naturally want to know, you know, what are they going to turn into when they get older?

What's that ceiling? Most players we tend to view as some shell of themselves that they can grow into or they can grow out of.

Right? It's just a casing. Can we see the skeleton on the wall that they can put some meat and bones on.

And I'm more interested or in doing this I've become very interested in how often players actually reach their ceiling, you know, how do we

outline the ceiling, how do we draw those lines on the paper and say, all right,

I can see this guy improving his jumper.

If he learns how to operate and pick and roll like this,

he's very quick and very tall.

So that first step is going to give him great advantages when he puts on 15 pounds of muscle, all of the kind of natural

maturing things that we do when we look at players or the maturing things that we expect when we look at players.

And so the question for me is, what number, or what percentage of guys who are really good get really good by filling into that ceiling and

what percentage of guys who are really really good break the ceiling break the mold do something the mold, do something different, come out of nowhere.

So that's the perspective we're going to take today.

So we'll get to that, but first I wanted to briefly

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