This is the Lay-Round Podcast with your host, Jay-Jay Zacharyson.

What's up everyone, it's Jay-Jay Zacharyson, the editor-in-chief over at numberfire.com,

and this episode 120 of the Lay-Round Podcast, one of the many shows that are part of

the number fire podcast network.

Thanks for tuning in.

At Slick 117, hit me up on Twitter this week and asked, how could anyone watch

or look at Josh Allen's stats and not think he's a third-round project at best?

I think the simple answer to a question like this is that stats aren't everything.

We know that they're not everything, but with statistics you can find trends, and with

trends you can increase your probability of hitting on a player in the draft.

After bringing Jim Sondis onto the show on Tuesday to talk about statistically superior

quarterbacks, I decided to dig a little bit deeper into Josh Allen's completion percentage

to see how important his low number actually is.

If you're not aware, Allen had a completion percentage of just 56.3% last season.

That was after completing just 56% of his passes and his only other season as starter

at Wyoming.

That's a low number.

Since the year 2000, there have been 74 quarterbacks who have had more than one season

with 200 or more dropbacks in the NFL, and that excludes players who are drafted before

the turn of the century, so players like Peyton Manning aren't part of that sample.

That also excludes players who didn't play significant snaps in college like Matt Castle.

If you take the highest single college season completion percentage among those 74 quarterbacks,

...