1/2 CENTRAL BANKERS: Suspect Too Independent. John Cochrane, Hoover Institution.
The John Batchelor Show
John Batchelor
4.5 • 2.8K Ratings
🗓️ 6 December 2024
⏱️ 13 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | This is CBS Eye on the World. Here's John Batchelor. |
| 0:11.6 | The Great Stagnation, that's the theme, and I welcome John Cochran of the Hoover Institution, |
| 0:18.9 | writing the grumpy economist, I highly recommend, because what |
| 0:23.2 | we're looking at here is something that is immediately upon us and can be dealt with if you |
| 0:29.2 | understand how we got in this problem of not growing, of not creating the conditions for more |
| 0:37.0 | and more prosperity, the great stagnation. |
| 0:40.7 | Professor, a very good evening to you. |
| 0:42.4 | 1970, a dear date to me because I graduated college. |
| 0:46.7 | Did I know that I was graduating at the end of innovation and growth? |
| 0:52.4 | What happened, John? |
| 0:53.8 | Why did we suddenly pull back after the successes of innovation and growth. What happened, John? Why did we suddenly pull back after the |
| 0:56.8 | successes of the early part of the 20th century, especially following the war? Yeah, the U.S. |
| 1:04.0 | economy grew like gangbusters, very innovative through the early 1970s. Then there was the great |
| 1:10.2 | slowdown, malaise and all that. |
| 1:12.4 | Picked up a little bit in the 80s and 90s, but nothing like it had been. And then around |
| 1:16.6 | 2000, our growth really slowed down. We had been 4% a year. Now good growth is 2% a year. |
| 1:23.0 | And of course, the U.S. is doing better than anywhere else. Europe basically stopped growing |
| 1:26.3 | at all about 10 years ago. |
| 1:28.5 | So we could be doing a lot better that there is in the news. Oh, yeah, GDP is up. But we're still in the 2% |
| 1:34.4 | range. We should be in the 4% range. And we should have done it for 25 years, making us much |
| 1:39.0 | richer than we are. Did we know in 1970? Did the leadership know that they'd hit a wall? |
| 1:46.4 | They certainly did. I mean, no, the nature of the wall is contentious today, but it was clear |
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