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Rates & Barrels: A show about Baseball

Young Hitters to Target & Why the Stabilization Point for Barrel Rate Feels Slippery

Rates & Barrels: A show about Baseball

The Athletic

Baseball, Sports, Mlb, Fantasy Baseball

4.7875 Ratings

🗓️ 13 July 2022

⏱️ 52 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Eno and DVR discuss why Esteury Ruiz might have a difficult time becoming Jon Berti 2.0 despite blazing speed and a growing path to playing time with the Padres, before examining several young hitters whose underlying skills point to future success, and why the stabilization point of a hitter's barrel rate still messes with our minds. 


Rundown

-- It Starts (Intro Music)

-- Esteury Ruiz: Stolen Bases Galore on the Waiver Wire?

-- Spencer Torkelson: Second-Half Turnaround On Tap?

-- More Likely to Improve Barrel Rate: Andrew Vaughn or Ke'Bryan Hayes?

-- Andrés Giménez: Is This His Ceiling?

-- Where is Gavin Lux's Power Amidst a Breakout?

-- More Power Coming From Nico Hoerner

-- DVR is Still In on Brandon Marsh

-- Raw Power Search: Below Average Barrel Rates, Top 20 Max EV

-- When to Trust a Dramatic Shift in Barrel Rate for a Veteran Player?


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Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Rates and barrels. It's Wednesday, July 13th, one day early, Derek Van Riper here with Enosaris on this episode.

0:24.0

We discussed the possibility that our speed wish from our episode on Monday has actually been granted.

0:29.7

May there always be another John Birdie on your waiver wire. Maybe, just maybe there's a player that could scratch that itch.

0:36.8

We're going to talk a lot about long-term hitting targets. As you're probably detecting, there's usually a pattern with our show. If there's a pitching topic that comes up on one day, a related hitting topic usually comes up on the next one. Sorry to break the fourth wall, but that's going to be the main topic we get to. Maybe we'll squeeze in a few mailbag questions, time permitting today.

0:55.3

Otherwise, we'll get to a lot of them next week.

0:57.6

Now, we begin, Eno, with Estuary Ruiz.

1:01.3

He is getting an opportunity with the Padres.

1:04.0

We have seen great slash lines from him at AA and AAA this season.

1:07.8

We have seen a ton of stolen bases at both of those levels.

1:13.4

So with Estuary Ruiz in particular, could he be the type of player who is a clear difference

1:20.8

maker in the second half?

1:22.2

Is there not playing time or the skills good enough for him to be a John Birdie type pickup where if you land him,

1:29.5

you end up maybe solving your stolen base problems in one move.

1:34.9

I, uh, he has the speed and he probably has the opportunity because he's better than Azokar,

1:44.0

I would guess. and we don't

1:46.7

know as of this moment how long Jerkson Profar is out. So there's an opportunity there that I think

1:52.6

is real. He plays all three outfield positions. Trent Grisham has been scuffling offensively and

1:58.2

then recently has been starting to add some defensive scuffling

2:02.0

so there's a chance that he could just take a job um so that is all the good news the bad news

2:09.7

came from sam dykstra pointing out on twitter the other day that he has an 18% hard hit rate at AAA.

2:19.3

That very few of his balls go harder than 95 miles an hour, let alone the sort of

2:25.8

hundred plus you want for power.

...

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