You Don't Need a Crystal Ball

Hidden Brain

Hidden Brain Media

Arts, Science, Performing Arts, Social Sciences

4.6 • 40.4K Ratings

🗓️ 28 March 2022

⏱️ 49 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

When disaster strikes — from the explosion of a space shuttle to the spread of a deadly virus — we want to know whether we could have avoided catastrophe. Did anyone speak up with concerns about the situation? And if so, why didn’t someone listen? This week, we revisit a favorite episode about the psychology of warnings, and how we can all become better at predicting the future.

Transcript

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0:00.0	T-15 seconds.
0:02.8	This is Hidden Brain, I'm Shankar Vedad.
0:08.6	On January 28, 1986, the Challenger spacecraft blasted off from Cape Canaveral.
0:15.8	Seconds after lift-off into a clear blue sky.
0:28.5	The plane went wrong.
0:36.6	It was much more than a malfunction.
0:39.1	It was a disaster.
0:40.8	As millions of people watched in horror, trails of smoke and debris flew off in different
0:46.0	directions.
0:47.0	We have a report from the flight dynamics officer that the vehicle has exploded.
0:50.7	The space shuttle blew up.
0:53.0	Those words, flashing across America today.
0:56.2	The Challenger exploded this morning just after lift-off from Cape Canaveral.
1:00.8	The crew of 7 now presumed it.
1:09.9	After the explosion, NASA officials were hauled to Capitol Hill and put to questioning.
1:15.0	Who finally made that decision to go?
1:17.2	What was the chain?
1:18.2	How did that link?
1:19.2	What happened then specifically?
1:21.4	Members of Congress asked the tough questions.
1:23.7	How could this have happened?
1:25.1	Who's to blame?
	...

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