Yellen Admits Rates Could Stay at Zero Forever – Ep. 110
The Peter Schiff Show Podcast
Peter Schiff
4.6 • 5.9K Ratings
🗓️ 18 September 2015
⏱️ 24 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
* Tuesday's podcast was titled, "Will She or Won't She?" referring to whether or not Janet Yellen would announce an interest rate hike for the first time in almost 7 years
* Today we got the official answer: "No."
* For the 54th consecutive time, the Fed has left interest rates unchanged at zero
* What is even more amazing, in the Q&A immediately following the announcement, Janet Yellen admitted that she could not rule out the possibility that interest rates would stay at zero forever
* A reporter asked her if the Fed may be trapped at zero forever
* Among the excuses the Fed used was problems in overseas markets, which opens up a grab bag of excuses for the Fed conveniently explain why it is not going to raise rates
* I said from the beginning the Fed has no intention of raising rates
* They also mention that these problems may spill over into the U.S. economy
* She also mentioned additional problems in the labor force: wages, people re-entering the workforce and more full-time jobs
* That is not going to improve in the next three months, yet the Fed is still pretending that it could raise rates in October or December
* Yellen is also no ruling out that the Fed could keep interest rates at zero forever, so who cares about what she won't rule out?
* Janet Yellen answered the reporter's question by saying, " We don't think we are going to be in that situation, however I can't rule it out."
* So the fact that she is not ruling out an October or December rate hike means nothing, because she also can't rule out zero interest rates forever
* What else does this tell you?
* She is concerned that rates will be at zero for a long time
* Janet Yellen believes that the Fed could actually keep interest rates forever
* They won't even stay at zero for the end of this decade because ther is going to be a currency crisis that forces the Fed to raise rates
* The only reason the Fed has maintained the illusion of control for so long is that the market is believing them
* When They figure what the Fed is really doing, then it is over with
* Then the dollar will tank, creating upward pressure on inflation
* They will have to raise rates; market will not give them a choice
* Janet Yellen does not know this
* Another reporter asked her if the Fed will adjust their policy if inflation gets to inflation sooner than anticipated
* Yellen went out of her way to state that 2% is the target, but not the ceiling
* I think the Fed does not have a ceiling, but the market does
* Another interesting discussion was regarding the balance sheet
* The Fed can't start shrinking the balance sheet until they raise rates
* Yellen admitted that since rates are still at zero, they are pushing back the time when the Fed will begin shrinking the balance sheet
* If the Fed never raises rates, then it can never shrink its balance sheet
* The Fed may never raise rates on its own volition: I know eventually they will have to raise rates
* And then it will be a complete catastrophe
* But everybody is still pretending everything is great, maybe the Fed will raise rates in October of December
* Here's another interesting development: the market was up all day but it sold off down 65 points. A pretty big reversal.
* Ultimately the Fed will have to officially take rate hikes off the table
* What kind of bad news will they need to do that?
* We got bad news today: Housing Starts were significantly below estimates and the prior month was revised down
* Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index had its second lowest week in a year
* The worst number that came out was Philly Fed - was expected to come in at +6, but actually came in at -6
* The biggest miss in 4 years
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | The Peter Schiff Show. |
| 0:09.5 | Tuesday's podcast was titled Will She or Won't She referring of course to Janet Yellen |
| 0:15.7 | and whether or not the Fed would raise interest rates for the first time in almost seven years. |
| 0:22.9 | And I posed that rhetorical question even though I really knew the answer. |
| 0:27.1 | That was the title of my podcast today. |
| 0:29.6 | We got the official answer from Janet Yellen and the answer was no. |
| 0:34.8 | Right for the, I think 54th consecutive time, the Fed Reserve has left interest rates unchanged |
| 0:42.8 | at zero. |
| 0:44.4 | Now what I think is even more amazing that the Fed left them at zero, but that in the Q&A |
| 0:51.9 | that immediately followed the official announcement, Janet Yellen admitted that she could not |
| 0:59.5 | rule out the possibility that interest rates would stay at zero forever. |
| 1:05.6 | Now the only reason this came up is because a reporter asked her if the Fed may be trapped |
| 1:12.5 | at zero forever because the Federal Reserve among the excuses that it used for not raising |
| 1:19.5 | interest rates was problems or concerns about the overseas markets or overseas economies, |
| 1:27.0 | which of course now opens up a grab bag of excuses for the Fed to conveniently pull out to |
| 1:33.8 | explain why it's not going to raise rates. |
| 1:36.7 | And if you remember, I've said from the beginning, the Fed has no intention of raising rates. |
| 1:41.1 | This is all a bluff. |
| 1:42.4 | This is all a con to try to pretend that the economy can actually withstand the rate |
| 1:48.6 | hike by talking about their intention to do it, but never actually proving that the economy |
| 1:54.8 | can't withstand higher rates by in fact raising them. |
| 1:58.2 | So I said, look, they're always going to look for an excuse. |
... |
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