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You Better You Bet

YBYB - NL Rookie of the Year

You Better You Bet

Audacy

Sports

4.81.3K Ratings

🗓️ 7 August 2023

⏱️ 4 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Is Corbin Carroll in jeopardy of losing Rookie of the Year? Ken Barkley breaks that down to start the power hour. To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome back guys, Jeremy Cox and Mark Lee. You better you bet. I'll brought to you by

0:06.0

Met MGM right here on the Beck UL network. Now, um, lots of stuff that we're going to get into

0:11.8

in this final hour with the power hour. We have you better you bet. Jeopardy. Was there anything

0:16.2

Ken that I just want to make sure we got everything out before we get in the jeopardy that you

0:19.6

wanted to add from what we were talking about? I think we've tied up on the ale working the year.

0:24.7

Yeah, give me, well, I'll give you, let me give you like a minute on an ale working the year

0:27.7

because it's so it's very brief and it just I just want to say this, uh, and we can maybe clip it

0:32.5

and put it with the ale, uh, Tyler and just and see what, you know, whatever clip it put it with

0:37.5

the ale because it's it's short. Um, ale is way more interesting. Ale still has an actionable bet.

0:42.9

Ale has a severe mispricing that makes it by far more interesting than all the other markets.

0:47.5

The only thing I would just say about the NL and it may never happen and it's not worth betting,

0:51.4

but just like just keep this in mind. Um, Corbin Carroll's a huge favorite. Uh, some sportsbooks

0:57.5

have removed him from the board. He can't even bet other players right now because it's he's viewed

1:01.4

as that far ahead. Uh, and he's just not, he's not take off the board far ahead. This is not

1:09.6

abducted by aliens. If he continues playing every game and Matt McLean of the Reds also continues

1:16.2

playing every game, there is a non zero chance that Matt McLean will catch Corbin Carroll. Now we're

1:21.7

in the stretch run of a horse race and McLean's 10 lengths behind. But he's closing and maybe he

1:27.6

doesn't get Carroll at the wire. Maybe that doesn't happen. Uh, it's probably not going to happen.

1:32.2

And the reason I wouldn't bet it right now is that there's still a pretty significant gap between

1:36.7

the two players a little more than a full win. But just to give you an idea of how severe the ale

1:42.0

is mispriced, the gap between McLean and Carroll right now is a little more than a full win. Uh,

1:47.8

in terms of wins above replacement. So Carroll's like a four or four and a half win player. McLean's

...

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