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More or Less

WS MoreOrLess: Football?s Red Card Clich?

More or Less

BBC

News Commentary, Science, Mathematics, News

4.63.7K Ratings

🗓️ 2 October 2015

⏱️ 10 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Managers and pundits often say “it’s harder to play against ten men”, but is there any truth in it? Also, Tim Harford speaks to the author Siobhan Roberts about Professor John Conway, who has been described as a genius and one of the world’s most charismatic mathematicians. Producers: Keith Moore and Wesley Stephenson

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is the short edition of More or Less, first broadcast on the BBC World Service.

0:05.6

Thank you for downloading from the BBC.

0:08.5

For details of our complete range of podcasts and our terms of use, go to BBCworldservice.com slash podcasts.

0:18.0

Hello and welcome to more or less on the BBC World Service. We are your weekly guide to the

0:24.1

numbers in the news and in life, and I'm Tim Harford. Let's talk about a game of two halves,

0:29.9

where managers and players are either over the moon or sick as a parrot, but always give 110%. Yes,

0:36.0

football. It's all about the cliches, but are the cliches true?

0:40.0

I'm confident that it is indeed a game of two halves and just as confident that footballers are

0:45.1

not, in fact, in lunar orbit. But what about this one? We've seen it often. It's very difficult

0:51.8

sometimes to play against 10 men. It's always difficult to play 11 against 10 away from home.

0:56.4

It's not an easy task when you play against 10 men and we have won and we should all be

1:00.1

very grateful for that.

1:01.6

When a player has been given a red card and therefore sent off, his or her team is then

1:06.8

outnumbered, 10 against 11. Surely that's a disadvantage, but managers and pundits love to say otherwise.

1:14.7

We asked the man who's crunched the figures.

1:17.3

Adam Greenberg, recent graduate, statistical hobbyist,

1:22.9

and Watford fan?

1:25.5

I'm sorry, Adam, I've no idea what my producer has against Watford Football Club.

1:30.0

Adam started by telling us about his source of data.

1:33.7

So we're looking at 2009 to 2013, so that's four seasons of the Premier League.

1:39.3

And in that time there were 1,520 games, and that was a total of 238 red cards in that time.

1:45.9

Those red cards refer to either a straightforward sending off for serious foul play

...

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