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More or Less

WS MoreOrLess: Counting the Dead in Iraq

More or Less

BBC

News Commentary, Science, Mathematics, News

4.63.7K Ratings

🗓️ 13 January 2014

⏱️ 10 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In Iraq, estimates of the death count since the war started 2003 range from 100,000 to about one million. Tim Harford explores why such a range exists and what methods are used to count those killed during war. Meanwhile he discovers that Iraq's population has been growing strongly over the same period. Plus, mathematician and comedian Matt Parker presents his guide to the imperial measurement system. This programme was first broadcast on the BBC World Service.

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is the short edition of More or Less, first broadcast on the BBC World Service.

0:06.0

Thank you for downloading from the BBC.

0:09.0

The details of our complete range of podcasts and our terms of use

0:13.0

go to BBCWorldService.com slash podcasts.

0:18.0

Hello and welcome to More or Less on the BBC World Service. I'm Tim Halfard.

0:24.0

This week we ask an Australian comedian to explain the system of imperial measurements.

0:29.0

But first I'm afraid we have more serious statistics to discuss.

0:33.0

The United Nations recently announced that in 2013 almost 8,000 civilians

0:38.0

and 1,000 members of the security forces had been killed in Iraq.

0:43.0

Estimates of how many people died overall since 2003 when Salam Hussein was deposed very widely.

0:50.0

A website called Iraq Bodycount gives a figure of 120,000.

0:55.0

The campaigning journalist John Pilger recently cited a number of a million.

1:00.0

We've looked at the difficulties of counting more dead before.

1:03.0

Many deaths will certainly go unreported while others may be counted twice.

1:07.0

But even so, the range of uncertainty in the case of Iraq seems to be very wide indeed.

1:13.0

So I spoke to Dr. Len Rangwala from Cambridge University in the United Kingdom to guide us through the numbers.

1:20.0

Some people are just counting the immediate victims of acts of violence.

1:24.0

They just tally the number of death reports that come in from morgues and police stations

1:29.0

and from journalists that are attributing deaths to violent conflict

1:34.0

and generally come to something in the range of 120,000 people up to the present day.

1:40.0

However, not all deaths that occur in a conflict are caused by immediate acts of violence.

1:47.0

So how do we try and record those deaths?

...

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