4.6 • 3.5K Ratings
🗓️ 26 January 2019
⏱️ 9 minutes
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0:00.0 | Hello and welcome to more or less on the BBC World Service. We're your statistical guide to life, and I'm Tim Halford. |
0:07.0 | Every year around the world, 800,000 people kill themselves, according to the World Health Organization. |
0:13.0 | It's a particularly distressing cause of death, and statisticians and epidemiologists are trying to understand the patterns, |
0:20.0 | and perhaps improve our ability to prevent suicide. |
0:24.0 | At the same time, popular myths about suicide abound. Some people say Christmas is a high-risk day for suicides. |
0:31.0 | Others point to January. So what did the numbers tell us? |
0:35.0 | Listener Frank Kirkland recently got in touch, reflecting on his own bereavement. |
0:39.0 | My brother was having a tough time. He was very cheerful over Christmas 2014, but then in the new year he took his own life on the 16th of January. |
0:52.0 | Sorry to be a bit grim, but it might be worth you investigating the statistics for January. |
0:58.0 | See if it's really a bad month or whether it is an over myth. |
1:02.0 | He could potentially help loved ones to feed perhaps a bit more attentive and sensitive to spot the warning signs. |
1:09.0 | Well thank you Frank. I spoke with Nav Capur, professor of psychiatry and population health at the University of Manchester in the UK. |
1:17.0 | He says that for years researchers have actually believed that the late spring and early summer was the time of year with the highest suicide rate. |
1:24.0 | It's quite an old story in a way. It's one of the things that all doctors get taught at medical school or psychiatrist learn about this spring and summer peak. |
1:36.0 | Studies across Europe, Japan, Taiwan, the US, Australia and South Africa have shown that the suicide rate is higher during the late spring. |
1:46.0 | So this finding about spring and summer peak in suicide has been shown fairly robustly in some of the older studies. |
1:54.0 | And what's interesting is you see the same pattern in the northern and the southern hemisphere. |
2:00.0 | The other thing you find with this finding is that the seasonal effects seem to lessen the closer you get to the equator. |
2:09.0 | But in the UK, home to Frank and to his late brother, the trend might be changing. |
2:14.0 | In a study we did, we actually did find that the month with the highest suicide risk was January. |
2:21.0 | But it wasn't significantly higher than spring. |
2:26.0 | And really the main finding of our study was that December had a very low suicide risk. |
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