The Scotty variable is changing these DFS slates, and it's also changing the way we view betting slates.

It's actually a really fun, like added piece to the puzzle that we have to kind of solve each week now.

Well, it's funny because when you sent me over your simulations for this tournament, it has Scotty Sheffler.

He is at, you haven't at a 25% win rate.

And Cameron Young comes in second at 6.4%. But then you take Scotty out of that market. And it's

not like Cam Young goes from 6.5% to 13%. He just goes to 8%. So I thought that was really

interesting and probably one of the main reasons to not bet in the non-scotty market.

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Welcome to the Pat Mayo Experience, WM Phoenix Open, Draft Kings Picks Preview, plus some underdog

drafts and a special breakdown of what I asked on Monday's show because our guest Alex Blickle from Ft N was able to put it together. The Scotty market versus betting in the non-Scottie market. Which one should you be doing statistically? I mean, for peace of mind, you can do whatever you want. Just bet how you want to wager your money. But what do the odds actually say? Blickle, thanks for running all this through. This is when I got your text, I looked at the chart. I was like, okay, here we go. Yeah, I'm really excited to talk this through. It's, it's one of those things where like, this, the Scotty variable is changing these DFS slates and it's also changing the way we view

betting slates like it's it's actually a really fun like added piece to the puzzle that we have to

kind of solve each week now well it's funny because when you sent me over your simulations for

this tournament it has Scotty Sheffler he is at at, you have him at a 25% win rate.

And Cameron Young comes in second at 6.4%. But then you take Scotty out of that market. And it's not like

Cam Young goes from 6.5% to 13%. He just goes to 8%. So I thought that was really interesting and probably

one of the main reasons to not bet in the non-scotty market.

Yeah, I think one of my big takeaways here is actually that the sports books have done a really good job of making this adjustment in a way where like the vast majority of the lines that lines that I looked at guys who I was interested in

betting guys who I wasn't interested in betting but thought we're going to be popular bets from

other people it's like I I didn't view one of the bets as superior to the other market so I

think they did a really like again a really a really good job of actually making this adjustment.

Now, you and Jeff have made the point a couple times that, you know, maybe the one of the markets is slow to react to the other one.

And you can find value in that way. But at least from just a starting standpoint of how they create the secondary market off of the initial market, I think they're doing a very good job. So for example, like the 6.4% would give Cameron Young a 15 or give him, well, give him a 6.4% chance, like 15 to 1 are his true odds, whereas in the 8.1, it's 11 to 1. That considering Cameron Young is as high, and I'm going to have him boosted up at Coolbet as well, I think you'll still be able to get him at 28 to 1, 25 to 1, whatever it might be.

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