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The World Next Week

Winter Stalemate in Ukraine, Argentina’s Presidential Runoff, Turkey’s President visits Berlin, and More

The World Next Week

Council on Foreign Relations

Politics, News, News:politics

4.6845 Ratings

🗓️ 16 November 2023

⏱️ 29 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Ukraine’s counteroffensive against Russian forces stalls as the future of U.S. aid remains uncertain; Argentina gears up for its presidential election runoff while inflation rates soar; Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan arrives in Berlin to address refugee flows and the Israel–Hamas war with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz; and David Cameron returns to the United Kingdom government as foreign secretary.   Mentioned on the Podcast   Lucy Fisher, Anna Gross, and Jim Pickard, “David Cameron Brings Experience and Baggage as He Returns to Politics,” Financial Times   Brad W. Setser, “Argentina Election Draws Wider Attention to Embattled Economy,” CFR.org   “Ukraine’s Commander-in-Chief on the Breakthrough He Needs to Beat Russia,” Economist   Andrew Wilks, “Turkey’s Erdogan Says He Trusts Russia as Much as He Trusts the West,” Associated Press For an episode transcript and show notes, visit The World Next Week at: https://www.cfr.org/podcasts/winter-stalemate-ukraine-argentinas-presidential-runoff-turkeys-president-visits-berlin

Transcript

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0:00.0

In the coming week, Ukraine begins a second winter at war, while U.S. lawmakers weigh whether to support the fight.

0:07.0

Argentinians choose their president amid spiraling inflation, and Turkey's President Erdogan visits Berlin.

0:12.0

It's November 16, 2023 in time for the world next week. I'm Bob McMahon.

0:28.6

And I'm Carla and Robbins.

0:30.6

Carla, let's start in Ukraine.

0:32.3

It's been over a year and a half now since the February 2020 invasion by Russia and the conflict grinds on.

0:40.1

Ukraine's counteroffensive momentum, such as it was, has stalled in the last five months.

0:46.0

There's growing concern about a possible Russian bombing campaign stepping up just as the coldest

0:51.3

months of winter roll in. At the same time, there's a whole lot of

0:54.5

political maneuvering happening in the U.S. Congress where the future of U.S. military to Ukraine is

0:59.4

uncertain. So in the bigger scheme of things here, what is it going to look like for Ukraine to

1:04.2

break the stalemate or at least show some momentum? Well, the Ukrainians are certainly worried

1:08.6

about that. Zelensky just said that he doesn't want another frozen conflict. He certainly does know about frozen conflicts. He went through this with Crimea. And it has been a very hard counteroffensive. It has truly stalled as the only word you can use for it or stalemate, which the Ukrainian head of the military, has used that term just last week.

1:28.4

They've advanced only 17 kilometers since June, and they're nowhere close to their goal of

1:34.4

breaking that land bridge that links Crimea and Russia. This is a really hard thing to do.

1:39.7

They're fighting deeply dug in forces. It's very easy to drop mines, very hard to dig them out.

1:46.1

And Ukraine's commander-in-chief told the economists, just like in the first world war,

1:50.6

we've reached the level of technology that puts us into a stalemate. And he said they need

1:55.6

new technological weapons, systems, and innovative approaches to break out. So what we think he's asking for things

2:02.1

like advanced drones, for mind-breaching technology, for new decoy systems to defeat Russian missiles.

2:08.4

They need a lot more help. And, you know, everybody loves a winner. And right now, they're not

2:15.0

losing, but they're not winning. And, you know And war is hard, and this is a particularly hard one.

...

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