Will the labor market keep humming?
Wall Street Breakfast
Seeking Alpha
4.1 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 2 June 2024
⏱️ 9 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Show Notes
Elon Musk accused of $7.5B insider trading by Tesla investor
Earnings Calendar
Episode transcripts seekingalpha.com/wsb
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street brunch, our Sunday look ahead to this week's market moving events, |
| 0:11.1 | along with the weekend's top news and analysis. |
| 0:14.0 | Hello, today is Sunday June 2nd, and I'm your host, Kim Kahn. |
| 0:18.0 | This week's main event on Wall Street won't happen until Friday |
| 0:21.0 | when the government releases the official jobs figures for May. |
| 0:24.8 | Economists expect that non-formed payrolls rose by 185,000 last month, with the unemployment rate |
| 0:29.8 | staying steady at 3.9%. Average hourly earnings are forecast a post-deserved.3% rise for the month. |
| 0:37.0 | B&P Paribow warned that the sharp drop in the pace of job creation between March and April |
| 0:42.0 | likely overestimated the degree of weakening |
| 0:44.0 | due to the shift of Easter on the calendar not being fully accounted for and with |
| 0:48.0 | education hiring expected to bounce from a very low level in April. |
| 0:52.0 | But Ian Shepardson, economist a pantheon macro, |
| 0:55.0 | noted that the S&P Global May Employment |
| 0:57.8 | composite reversed only half of April's unexpected drop |
| 1:01.6 | and that the composite has recently been a relatively good |
| 1:04.5 | indicator of payrolls in the sectors that it covers. It points to another week |
| 1:09.3 | private payrolls print for May, making us a bit more confident with our subpar 150,000 |
| 1:14.7 | forecasts driven by the home-based data, he added. This child's report is the |
| 1:19.2 | last one before the June Fed meeting, where markets are pricing in a near certainty of no move, but standard |
| 1:24.8 | chartered strategist Steve Englander is going against the higher for longer trend. |
| 1:29.5 | Futures markets are pricing in about three basis points of cuts at the 31st of July FOMC meeting he said |
| 1:35.2 | we think this is too low in fact a July cut is our baseline there are two more |
... |
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