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Coffee House Shots

Will Rishi hit his inflation target?

Coffee House Shots

The Spectator

Politics, Daily News, News

4.42.2K Ratings

🗓️ 16 August 2023

⏱️ 5 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Today we had the – seemingly – good news that the headline rate of inflation for July has come down to 6.8%. This is in line with Bank of England targets which suggest that Rishi could be set to meet his pledge to halve inflation. Is this cause for celebration in Number 10? Or should we be wary?

Cindy Yu speaks to Michael Simmons, The Spectator's data editor.

Produced by Cindy Yu and Oscar Edmondson.

Check out The Spectator's data hub: https://data.spectator.co.uk/

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Transcript

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0:00.0

The Spectator combines incisive political analysis with books and arts reviews of Unrivaled Authority.

0:06.1

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0:11.7

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0:15.4

Go to spectator.co.uk slash summer.

0:23.1

Hello and welcome to Coffee House Shots, the Spectator's daily politics podcast.

0:27.1

I'm Cindy U and I'm joined by Michael Simmons, our data editor.

0:30.6

Now Michael, today we've had some good news in inflation, at least from the sounds of things

0:34.8

from the government who've been singing and dancing about it all over social media and that's

0:39.0

the inflation falling down. Tell us about what the news is.

0:42.5

So the headline rate of inflation for July has come down to 6.8%. So that means that

0:49.4

prices are still rising but they're rising slower than they had been in previous months.

0:54.0

It's good news for Sunack because it's in line with the Bank of England targets which we've

0:58.1

talked about on this podcast before and those targets said that Sunack was going to meet his pledge

1:02.8

to half inflation by the end of the year. So it's looking good from the headline rate but if we

1:08.7

look further in the data there's some more worrying sounds. Yeah so that's core inflation isn't it?

1:13.6

Tell us about that. Yeah so core inflation is essentially where you strip out sort of external

1:18.5

factors. So that's things like energy prices and food prices that you could say these are caused

1:24.1

by the shock from the invasion of Ukraine, from the pandemic supply chain problems kind of feeding

1:31.5

through. So core inflation strips that out and it's more of kind of just a British part of inflation

1:37.1

and when we look at that that's basically stayed flat and this is going to worry people especially

1:42.0

the Bank of England to have to say interest rates because when kind of we had an inflationary

1:46.0

disease in the 70s it was core inflation that kind of stuck so the fact that core inflation

...

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